Essex County, New Jersey
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 10.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 27.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 25.2% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 36.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 28.4% | 52.7% |
| Other | 9.6% | 17.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.7% | 10.5% |
| Black Protestant | 5.2% | 9.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.1% | 7.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 1.0% | 1.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 46.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+44.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+55.4 |
| 2016 | Clinton+56.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+56.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+52.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+41.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+45.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+43.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+24.9 |
Essex, New Jersey is a county that has a population of 863,002. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+44.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 71.7% | 26.8% | D+44.9 | R+10.5 |
| 2020 | 77.3% | 21.9% | D+55.4 | R+1.4 |
| 2016 | 77.0% | 20.2% | D+56.8 | D+0.1 |
| 2012 | 78.0% | 21.3% | D+56.6 | D+4.1 |
| 2008 | 75.9% | 23.4% | D+52.5 | D+10.9 |
| 2004 | 70.4% | 28.8% | D+41.6 | R+4.1 |
| 2000 | 71.5% | 25.8% | D+45.7 | D+2.4 |
| 1996 | 69.0% | 25.6% | D+43.4 | D+18.4 |
| 1992 | 57.1% | 32.2% | D+24.9 | D+8.8 |
| 1988 | 56.4% | 40.3% | D+16.1 | D+4.5 |
| 1984 | 55.1% | 43.5% | D+11.6 | D+1.8 |
| 1980 | 50.6% | 40.8% | D+9.8 | R+3.1 |
| 1976 | 55.2% | 42.4% | D+12.8 | D+15.4 |
| 1972 | 47.6% | 50.2% | R+2.6 | R+15.3 |
| 1968 | 51.9% | 39.2% | D+12.7 | R+27.9 |
| 1964 | 69.9% | 29.3% | D+40.6 | D+27.9 |
| 1960 | 55.4% | 42.6% | D+12.7 | D+35.5 |
| 1956 | 37.7% | 60.4% | R+22.8 | R+13.1 |
| 1952 | 44.3% | 53.9% | R+9.7 | R+6.3 |
| 1948 | 45.3% | 48.6% | R+3.4 | — |
What defines Essex?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 44.9% margin
- Swung 10.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024