Middlesex County, New Jersey
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 14.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 37.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 23.6% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 10.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 25.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.8% | 59.8% |
| Other | 10.4% | 20.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.1% | 8.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.1% | 6.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 1.6% | 3.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 1.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 50.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+8.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+22.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+21.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+27.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+21.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+13.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+23.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+24.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.0 |
Middlesex, New Jersey is a county that has a population of 871,290. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+8.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.5% | 44.5% | D+8.0 | R+14.0 |
| 2020 | 60.2% | 38.2% | D+22.0 | D+0.7 |
| 2016 | 58.8% | 37.4% | D+21.3 | R+6.3 |
| 2012 | 63.1% | 35.5% | D+27.6 | D+5.8 |
| 2008 | 60.2% | 38.4% | D+21.8 | D+8.2 |
| 2004 | 56.3% | 42.8% | D+13.6 | R+10.2 |
| 2000 | 59.9% | 36.1% | D+23.7 | R+0.6 |
| 1996 | 56.2% | 31.9% | D+24.3 | D+17.2 |
| 1992 | 45.2% | 38.1% | D+7.0 | D+17.0 |
| 1988 | 44.4% | 54.3% | R+9.9 | D+10.7 |
| 1984 | 39.2% | 59.8% | R+20.6 | R+10.3 |
| 1980 | 40.3% | 50.7% | R+10.4 | R+14.3 |
| 1976 | 51.0% | 47.1% | D+3.9 | D+28.9 |
| 1972 | 36.4% | 61.4% | R+25.0 | R+28.0 |
| 1968 | 45.8% | 42.8% | D+3.0 | R+37.7 |
| 1964 | 70.1% | 29.4% | D+40.7 | D+24.2 |
| 1960 | 58.2% | 41.6% | D+16.6 | D+38.1 |
| 1956 | 39.0% | 60.5% | R+21.5 | R+19.2 |
| 1952 | 48.0% | 50.3% | R+2.3 | R+12.5 |
| 1948 | 53.0% | 42.9% | D+10.2 | — |
What defines Middlesex?
It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 14.0 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- College attainment is 46% — 13pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally