Monmouth County, New Jersey
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 8.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 12.9% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 6.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 42.3% | 73.8% |
| Other | 5.8% | 10.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.1% | 7.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.0% | 5.2% |
| Black Protestant | 1.3% | 2.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.9% | 1.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 42.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+11.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+2.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+9.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+5.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+3.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+4.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.0 |
Monmouth, New Jersey is a county that has a population of 645,353. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+11.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.4% | 54.8% | R+11.4 | R+8.6 |
| 2020 | 47.9% | 50.7% | R+2.8 | D+6.5 |
| 2016 | 43.2% | 52.5% | R+9.3 | R+4.3 |
| 2012 | 46.8% | 51.8% | R+5.0 | R+1.2 |
| 2008 | 47.5% | 51.2% | R+3.7 | D+6.2 |
| 2004 | 44.6% | 54.6% | R+10.0 | R+14.6 |
| 2000 | 50.2% | 45.5% | D+4.7 | R+3.6 |
| 1996 | 48.4% | 40.2% | D+8.2 | D+14.2 |
| 1992 | 38.2% | 44.2% | R+6.0 | D+17.0 |
| 1988 | 38.1% | 61.1% | R+23.0 | D+8.4 |
| 1984 | 34.1% | 65.5% | R+31.4 | R+8.4 |
| 1980 | 33.6% | 56.7% | R+23.0 | R+12.6 |
| 1976 | 43.9% | 54.3% | R+10.4 | D+22.0 |
| 1972 | 33.3% | 65.7% | R+32.5 | R+22.1 |
| 1968 | 40.9% | 51.2% | R+10.3 | R+32.0 |
| 1964 | 60.7% | 39.1% | D+21.6 | D+34.8 |
| 1960 | 43.3% | 56.5% | R+13.2 | D+31.0 |
| 1956 | 27.7% | 71.8% | R+44.1 | R+11.3 |
| 1952 | 33.5% | 66.3% | R+32.8 | R+6.4 |
| 1948 | 35.9% | 62.2% | R+26.3 | — |
What defines Monmouth?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Turnout of 71.5% in 2024 ranked 3 of 21 in the state — top quartile
- College attainment is 51% — 18pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Located In
Monmouth sits inside these higher-level geographies.