Somerset County, New Jersey
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 7.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 49.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 17.6% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 9.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 19.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 28.4% | 56.7% |
| Other | 9.9% | 19.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.0% | 10.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.8% | 7.5% |
| Black Protestant | 2.7% | 5.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 49.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+13.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+21.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+12.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+5.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+6.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+4.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+10.9 |
Somerset, New Jersey is a county that has a population of 349,846. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+13.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.7% | 41.8% | D+13.9 | R+7.0 |
| 2020 | 59.5% | 38.5% | D+21.0 | D+8.1 |
| 2016 | 54.5% | 41.7% | D+12.8 | D+7.3 |
| 2012 | 52.1% | 46.5% | D+5.6 | R+0.5 |
| 2008 | 52.4% | 46.3% | D+6.1 | D+10.4 |
| 2004 | 47.4% | 51.7% | R+4.3 | R+1.4 |
| 2000 | 46.7% | 49.6% | R+2.9 | R+1.8 |
| 1996 | 44.9% | 45.9% | R+1.1 | D+9.8 |
| 1992 | 35.5% | 46.4% | R+10.9 | D+17.6 |
| 1988 | 35.2% | 63.7% | R+28.5 | D+6.1 |
| 1984 | 32.2% | 66.8% | R+34.6 | R+9.5 |
| 1980 | 32.1% | 57.2% | R+25.1 | R+8.4 |
| 1976 | 40.4% | 57.2% | R+16.7 | D+18.3 |
| 1972 | 31.0% | 66.0% | R+35.0 | R+16.1 |
| 1968 | 35.1% | 54.1% | R+19.0 | R+40.0 |
| 1964 | 60.4% | 39.3% | D+21.1 | D+33.0 |
| 1960 | 43.9% | 55.8% | R+11.9 | D+32.4 |
| 1956 | 27.5% | 71.9% | R+44.3 | R+17.5 |
| 1952 | 36.5% | 63.3% | R+26.8 | R+5.3 |
| 1948 | 38.3% | 59.8% | R+21.5 | — |
What defines Somerset?
Somerset has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
- College attainment is 58% — 25pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Located In
Somerset sits inside these higher-level geographies.