Warren County, New Jersey
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 74.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 13.0% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 6.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 19.0% | 57.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.9% | 26.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.1% | 9.4% |
| Other | 2.2% | 6.5% |
| Non-religious | 66.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+20.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+16.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+25.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+15.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+14.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+23.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+6.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.2 |
Warren, New Jersey is a county that has a population of 110,849. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+20.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.8% | 59.5% | R+20.7 | R+4.5 |
| 2020 | 40.8% | 56.9% | R+16.2 | D+9.1 |
| 2016 | 34.8% | 60.1% | R+25.3 | R+9.9 |
| 2012 | 41.3% | 56.7% | R+15.4 | R+1.4 |
| 2008 | 42.0% | 56.0% | R+14.0 | D+9.9 |
| 2004 | 37.4% | 61.3% | R+23.9 | R+10.1 |
| 2000 | 40.5% | 54.3% | R+13.8 | R+7.6 |
| 1996 | 39.3% | 45.5% | R+6.3 | D+6.9 |
| 1992 | 31.3% | 44.5% | R+13.2 | D+16.8 |
| 1988 | 34.6% | 64.5% | R+29.9 | D+4.6 |
| 1984 | 32.6% | 67.1% | R+34.5 | R+13.7 |
| 1980 | 34.1% | 55.0% | R+20.9 | R+17.5 |
| 1976 | 47.3% | 50.7% | R+3.4 | D+28.1 |
| 1972 | 33.9% | 65.3% | R+31.5 | R+27.6 |
| 1968 | 44.2% | 48.1% | R+3.9 | R+42.1 |
| 1964 | 69.1% | 30.9% | D+38.2 | D+53.0 |
| 1960 | 42.6% | 57.4% | R+14.8 | D+19.2 |
| 1956 | 33.0% | 66.9% | R+34.0 | R+16.6 |
| 1952 | 41.3% | 58.6% | R+17.4 | R+14.5 |
| 1948 | 48.1% | 51.0% | R+2.8 | — |
What defines Warren?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 20.7% margin
- Swung 4.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Located In
Warren sits inside these higher-level geographies.