Lorain County, Ohio
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 75.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 11.0% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 7.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.3% | 47.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.3% | 33.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.0% | 11.0% |
| Other | 1.8% | 4.0% |
| Black Protestant | 1.7% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 54.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+5.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+2.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+0.1 |
| 2012 | Obama+15.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+17.9 |
| 2004 | Kerry+12.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+10.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+19.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.9 |
Lorain, Ohio is a county that has a population of 317,129. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+5.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.7% | 52.4% | R+5.7 | R+3.3 |
| 2020 | 48.1% | 50.5% | R+2.5 | R+2.5 |
| 2016 | 46.7% | 46.6% | D+0.1 | R+15.3 |
| 2012 | 56.9% | 41.5% | D+15.4 | R+2.5 |
| 2008 | 58.1% | 40.2% | D+17.9 | D+5.2 |
| 2004 | 56.1% | 43.5% | D+12.6 | D+2.0 |
| 2000 | 53.3% | 42.8% | D+10.6 | R+9.0 |
| 1996 | 52.4% | 32.8% | D+19.6 | D+7.6 |
| 1992 | 43.0% | 31.0% | D+11.9 | D+7.1 |
| 1988 | 52.0% | 47.1% | D+4.8 | D+8.8 |
| 1984 | 46.9% | 50.8% | R+3.9 | D+5.9 |
| 1980 | 39.7% | 49.5% | R+9.8 | R+23.5 |
| 1976 | 55.3% | 41.7% | D+13.7 | D+29.6 |
| 1972 | 40.3% | 56.1% | R+15.9 | R+25.7 |
| 1968 | 49.7% | 40.0% | D+9.8 | R+25.5 |
| 1964 | 67.6% | 32.4% | D+35.3 | D+30.3 |
| 1960 | 52.5% | 47.5% | D+5.0 | D+25.2 |
| 1956 | 39.9% | 60.1% | R+20.2 | R+7.5 |
| 1952 | 43.6% | 56.4% | R+12.7 | R+12.2 |
| 1948 | 49.0% | 49.5% | R+0.5 | — |
What defines Lorain?
Lorain has been trending Republican — 21pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
County in State Context
Current Ohio Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Ohio. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Ohio Senate General Election
Sherrod Brown leads at 47.3%
3 pollsLow
Field Preview
2026 Ohio Governor General Election
Amy Acton leads at 49.5%
2 pollsSparse
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.1 points — razor-thin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2016, Republicans in 2024
Located In
Lorain sits inside these higher-level geographies.