
Cleveland-Akron (Canton)
Competitive — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 3.8M residents — 17 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 74.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 5.1% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 13.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 20.4% | 39.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.9% | 34.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.5% | 12.8% |
| Other | 3.2% | 6.3% |
| Black Protestant | 2.6% | 5.0% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 48.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+2.3 |
| 2020 | Biden+0.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+2.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+14.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+16.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+11.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+8.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+16.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+10.9 |
Cleveland-Akron (Canton) is a media market that has a population of 3,835,364. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+2.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.4% | 50.7% | R+2.3 | R+3.3 |
| 2020 | 49.8% | 48.9% | D+0.9 | R+1.6 |
| 2016 | 48.1% | 45.5% | D+2.6 | R+11.7 |
| 2012 | 56.3% | 42.0% | D+14.3 | R+2.2 |
| 2008 | 57.4% | 40.9% | D+16.5 | D+5.0 |
| 2004 | 55.5% | 44.0% | D+11.5 | D+3.0 |
| 2000 | 52.3% | 43.7% | D+8.6 | R+7.7 |
| 1996 | 51.6% | 35.3% | D+16.3 | D+5.3 |
| 1992 | 44.2% | 33.3% | D+10.9 | D+8.5 |
| 1988 | 50.8% | 48.3% | D+2.5 | D+7.9 |
| 1984 | 46.8% | 52.2% | R+5.4 | R+2.2 |
| 1980 | 44.2% | 47.4% | R+3.2 | R+13.0 |
| 1976 | 53.5% | 43.7% | D+9.8 | D+21.3 |
| 1972 | 43.2% | 54.7% | R+11.5 | R+18.6 |
| 1968 | 48.0% | 40.9% | D+7.1 | R+27.9 |
| 1964 | 67.5% | 32.5% | D+35.0 | D+30.4 |
| 1960 | 52.3% | 47.7% | D+4.7 | D+20.0 |
| 1956 | 42.4% | 57.6% | R+15.3 | R+7.3 |
| 1952 | 46.0% | 54.0% | R+8.0 | R+11.6 |
| 1948 | 50.6% | 47.0% | D+3.6 | — |
What defines Cleveland-Akron (Canton)?
Cleveland-Akron (Canton) has been trending Republican — 17pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Cleveland-Akron (Canton)
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuyahoga | 1.2M | D+31.4 | 376,384 | 195,164 | 576,520 | 30.6% |
| Summit | 538K | D+7.0 | 145,005 | 125,910 | 273,571 | 14.5% |
| Stark | 374K | R+21.9 | 71,090 | 111,478 | 184,193 | 9.8% |
| Lorain | 317K | R+5.7 | 74,207 | 83,297 | 159,007 | 8.4% |
| Lake | 232K | R+14.3 | 54,484 | 72,924 | 128,579 | 6.8% |
| Medina | 184K | R+24.8 | 39,771 | 66,308 | 107,045 | 5.7% |
| Portage | 162K | R+15.5 | 34,759 | 47,681 | 83,226 | 4.4% |
| Richland | 125K | R+42.3 | 16,591 | 41,298 | 58,362 | 3.1% |
| Wayne | 117K | R+39.3 | 15,898 | 36,764 | 53,150 | 2.8% |
| Ashtabula | 97K | R+28.4 | 15,345 | 27,656 | 43,374 | 2.3% |
| Geauga | 95K | R+24.1 | 20,604 | 33,844 | 54,894 | 2.9% |
| Tuscarawas | 92K | R+43.3 | 12,032 | 30,652 | 43,023 | 2.3% |
| Erie | 75K | R+14.1 | 16,871 | 22,493 | 39,749 | 2.1% |
| Huron | 58K | R+44.0 | 7,496 | 19,484 | 27,216 | 1.4% |
| Ashland | 52K | R+50.0 | 6,544 | 19,863 | 26,663 | 1.4% |
| Holmes | 44K | R+69.2 | 1,854 | 10,384 | 12,335 | 0.7% |
| Carroll | 27K | R+54.7 | 3,071 | 10,634 | 13,819 | 0.7% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.9 points — razor-thin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 74.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 13.8% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 5.1% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.4% | 39.8% | — | — | |
| 17.9% | 34.8% | — | — | |
| 6.5% | 12.8% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 6.3% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 5.0% | — | — | |
| 0.6% | 1.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 48.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Cleveland-Akron (Canton) media market? 3,835,364 residents across 17 counties.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Cleveland-Akron (Canton)
How competitive is Cleveland-Akron (Canton)?
Do voters in Cleveland-Akron (Canton) split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+2.3 | D+5.9 | 8.2pp |