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Cleveland-Akron (Canton)

Cleveland-Akron (Canton)

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.3 vs 2020

Competitive — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 3.8M residents — 17 counties

Race & ancestry
Group%
White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
74.4%
Hispanic / Latino(18)
5.1%
Black / African American(14)
13.8%
Asian(6)
2.2%
Middle Eastern / North African(10)
1.0%
Native American / Alaska Native(1)
0.1%
Multiracial / Other
4.3%
View full demographics →
Religious adherence
Tradition% Pop% Adherents
Catholic20.4%39.8%
Evangelical Protestant17.9%34.8%
Mainline Protestant6.5%12.8%
Other3.2%6.3%
Black Protestant2.6%5.0%
Orthodox Christian0.6%1.2%
LDS (Mormon)0.4%0.8%
Non-religious48.7%
View full religion →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Trump+2.3
2020Biden+0.9
2016Clinton+2.6
2012Obama+14.3
2008Obama+16.5
2004Kerry+11.5
2000Gore+8.6
1996Clinton+16.3
1992Clinton+10.9
View full election history →

Cleveland-Akron (Canton) is a media market that has a population of 3,835,364. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+2.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Cleveland-Akron (Canton) Presidential Election Results, 19482024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202448.4%50.7%R+2.3R+3.3
202049.8%48.9%D+0.9R+1.6
201648.1%45.5%D+2.6R+11.7
201256.3%42.0%D+14.3R+2.2
200857.4%40.9%D+16.5D+5.0
200455.5%44.0%D+11.5D+3.0
200052.3%43.7%D+8.6R+7.7
199651.6%35.3%D+16.3D+5.3
199244.2%33.3%D+10.9D+8.5
198850.8%48.3%D+2.5D+7.9
198446.8%52.2%R+5.4R+2.2
198044.2%47.4%R+3.2R+13.0
197653.5%43.7%D+9.8D+21.3
197243.2%54.7%R+11.5R+18.6
196848.0%40.9%D+7.1R+27.9
196467.5%32.5%D+35.0D+30.4
196052.3%47.7%D+4.7D+20.0
195642.4%57.6%R+15.3R+7.3
195246.0%54.0%R+8.0R+11.6
194850.6%47.0%D+3.6
Political Identity

What defines Cleveland-Akron (Canton)?

Cleveland-Akron (Canton) has been trending Republican — 17pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.

Constituent Counties

Constituent Geography

Counties in Cleveland-Akron (Canton)

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Cuyahoga1.2M
D+31.4
376,384195,164576,52030.6%
Summit538K
D+7.0
145,005125,910273,57114.5%
Stark374K
R+21.9
71,090111,478184,1939.8%
Lorain317K
R+5.7
74,20783,297159,0078.4%
Lake232K
R+14.3
54,48472,924128,5796.8%
Medina184K
R+24.8
39,77166,308107,0455.7%
Portage162K
R+15.5
34,75947,68183,2264.4%
Richland125K
R+42.3
16,59141,29858,3623.1%
Wayne117K
R+39.3
15,89836,76453,1502.8%
Ashtabula97K
R+28.4
15,34527,65643,3742.3%
Geauga95K
R+24.1
20,60433,84454,8942.9%
Tuscarawas92K
R+43.3
12,03230,65243,0232.3%
Erie75K
R+14.1
16,87122,49339,7492.1%
Huron58K
R+44.0
7,49619,48427,2161.4%
Ashland52K
R+50.0
6,54419,86326,6631.4%
Holmes44K
R+69.2
1,85410,38412,3350.7%
Carroll27K
R+54.7
3,07110,63413,8190.7%
17 countiesTotal votes: 1,884,726
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Cleveland-Akron (Canton)'s political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • The 2020 election was decided by just 0.9 points — razor-thin
  • Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
  • Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Cleveland-Akron (Canton)Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 74.4%Black 13.8%Hispanic 5.1%Multiracial 4.3%Asian 2.2%
GroupLocalNational
White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
74.4%57.4%
Black / African American(14)
13.8%12.2%
Hispanic / Latino(18)
5.1%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
4.3%4.0%
Asian(6)
2.2%6.0%
Middle Eastern / North African(10)
1.0%0.9%
Native American / Alaska Native(1)
0.1%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
51.3%(2.0M people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions
Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
20.4%39.8%
17.9%34.8%
6.5%12.8%
3.2%6.3%
2.6%5.0%
0.6%1.2%
LDS (Mormon)
0.4%0.8%
Non-religiousPopulation
48.7%
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Cleveland-Akron (Canton) media market? 3,835,364 residents across 17 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Cleveland-Akron (Canton) vs National3.8M residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
3.8M
local
3.8MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
1.15%
local
1.15%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
76.7%
local
76.7%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$70,662
local
$70,662National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
13.0%
local
13.0%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
31.4%
local
31.4%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
68.0%
local
68.0%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
41.4 yrs
local
41.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
14.8%
local
14.8%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
19.9%
local
19.9%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
4.8%
local
4.8%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
9.0%
local
9.0%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
91.0%
local
91.0%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Cleveland-Akron (Canton)

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
64.0%
vs Previous
-2.3pp
Voting-Age Pop
2,943,617
History
19882024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Cleveland-Akron (Canton)?

TossupAvg margin: D+0.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+16.5
2012
D+14.3
2016
D+2.6
2020
D+0.9
2024
R+2.3
Elasticity
18.8pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+6.4
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Cleveland-Akron (Canton) split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (15/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateR+2.3D+5.98.2pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 15.0pp
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