Essex County, Vermont
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 92.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 1.6% |
Black / African American | 0.1% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.6% | 78.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.8% | 10.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 1.7% | 9.8% |
| Other | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 82.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+15.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+11.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+16.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+13.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+14.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+15.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+1.8 |
Essex, Vermont is a county that has a population of 5,982. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+15.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.2% | 55.2% | R+15.9 | R+4.8 |
| 2020 | 42.7% | 53.9% | R+11.2 | D+5.5 |
| 2016 | 34.8% | 51.5% | R+16.6 | R+30.0 |
| 2012 | 55.0% | 41.6% | D+13.4 | R+1.1 |
| 2008 | 55.9% | 41.4% | D+14.5 | D+25.2 |
| 2004 | 43.4% | 54.2% | R+10.7 | D+4.3 |
| 2000 | 39.0% | 54.1% | R+15.0 | R+27.3 |
| 1996 | 45.7% | 33.4% | D+12.3 | D+10.5 |
| 1992 | 36.4% | 34.6% | D+1.8 | D+31.0 |
| 1988 | 35.0% | 64.2% | R+29.2 | D+10.8 |
| 1984 | 29.5% | 69.5% | R+40.0 | R+18.3 |
| 1980 | 34.1% | 55.8% | R+21.6 | R+14.4 |
| 1976 | 45.8% | 53.0% | R+7.3 | D+30.0 |
| 1972 | 31.0% | 68.3% | R+37.3 | R+34.4 |
| 1968 | 47.0% | 49.8% | R+2.8 | R+40.9 |
| 1964 | 69.0% | 31.0% | D+38.1 | D+53.1 |
| 1960 | 42.5% | 57.5% | R+15.0 | D+25.6 |
| 1956 | 29.7% | 70.3% | R+40.6 | R+2.1 |
| 1952 | 30.5% | 69.1% | R+38.5 | R+29.6 |
| 1948 | 45.3% | 54.2% | R+8.9 | — |
What defines Essex?
Essex has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (2D, 4R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class electorate (22% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 31.1 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Turnout of 69.3% in 2024 ranked 12 of 14 in the state — bottom quartile
Located In
Essex sits inside these higher-level geographies.