Burlington-Plattsburgh
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 862K residents — 17 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 2.6% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 1.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 22.4% | 59.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.4% | 17.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 14.5% |
| Other | 3.1% | 8.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 62.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+22.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+27.2 |
| 2016 | Clinton+19.1 |
| 2012 | Obama+30.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+31.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+14.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+6.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+19.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+10.7 |
Burlington-Plattsburgh is a media market that has a population of 861,911. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+22.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.9% | 37.1% | D+22.8 | R+4.4 |
| 2020 | 62.2% | 35.0% | D+27.2 | D+8.2 |
| 2016 | 53.8% | 34.8% | D+19.1 | R+11.3 |
| 2012 | 64.1% | 33.7% | D+30.4 | R+1.3 |
| 2008 | 64.9% | 33.2% | D+31.6 | D+16.8 |
| 2004 | 56.4% | 41.5% | D+14.8 | D+8.1 |
| 2000 | 49.6% | 42.9% | D+6.7 | R+12.7 |
| 1996 | 52.4% | 33.0% | D+19.4 | D+8.7 |
| 1992 | 44.1% | 33.3% | D+10.7 | D+19.1 |
| 1988 | 45.3% | 53.6% | R+8.4 | D+14.2 |
| 1984 | 38.3% | 60.8% | R+22.6 | R+13.5 |
| 1980 | 38.0% | 47.1% | R+9.1 | D+3.9 |
| 1976 | 42.5% | 55.6% | R+13.0 | D+15.4 |
| 1972 | 35.4% | 63.9% | R+28.5 | R+17.0 |
| 1968 | 42.1% | 53.7% | R+11.5 | R+45.8 |
| 1964 | 67.1% | 32.9% | D+34.3 | D+47.1 |
| 1960 | 43.6% | 56.4% | R+12.9 | D+30.9 |
| 1956 | 28.1% | 71.9% | R+43.8 | R+3.4 |
| 1952 | 29.3% | 69.7% | R+40.4 | R+19.0 |
| 1948 | 38.2% | 59.6% | R+21.4 | — |
What defines Burlington-Plattsburgh?
It has a highly educated electorate (41% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Democrats nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Albany-Schenectady-Troy
Educated rural competitive
Portland-Auburn
Small-town rural republican 2
Buffalo
Small-town rural republican 3
Duluth-Superior
Small-town rural republican 2
Boston (Manchester)
Educated rural democratic
Rochester, NY
Educated rural competitive
Charlottesville
Educated rural competitive
Madison
Educated rural competitive
Counties in Burlington-Plattsburgh
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chittenden | 170K | D+53.1 | 72,656 | 20,937 | 97,329 | 20.3% |
| Grafton | 92K | D+19.8 | 32,993 | 21,909 | 55,895 | 11.7% |
| Clinton | 78K | R+2.1 | 17,478 | 18,247 | 35,817 | 7.5% |
| Rutland | 60K | D+5.3 | 17,375 | 15,586 | 34,102 | 7.1% |
| Washington | 60K | D+43.0 | 24,527 | 9,327 | 35,369 | 7.4% |
| Windsor | 58K | D+35.3 | 22,569 | 10,458 | 34,289 | 7.2% |
| Franklin | 51K | D+3.0 | 13,280 | 12,490 | 26,743 | 5.6% |
| Franklin | 47K | R+9.0 | 8,821 | 10,569 | 19,458 | 4.1% |
| Sullivan | 44K | R+0.7 | 12,317 | 12,484 | 25,221 | 5.3% |
| Addison | 38K | D+35.6 | 14,879 | 6,841 | 22,607 | 4.7% |
| Essex | 37K | D+0.5 | 9,629 | 9,533 | 19,236 | 4.0% |
| Caledonia | 30K | D+12.3 | 8,977 | 6,927 | 16,633 | 3.5% |
| Orange | 30K | D+20.0 | 10,220 | 6,683 | 17,672 | 3.7% |
| Orleans | 28K | R+1.5 | 7,006 | 7,233 | 14,765 | 3.1% |
| Lamoille | 26K | D+35.6 | 9,788 | 4,505 | 14,844 | 3.1% |
| Grand Isle | 7K | D+20.9 | 2,940 | 1,893 | 5,001 | 1.0% |
| Essex | 6K | R+15.9 | 1,344 | 1,890 | 3,425 | 0.7% |
17 countiesTotal votes: 478,406
Ask the Historian
Explore Burlington-Plattsburgh's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 22.8% margin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Governor
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.3% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 2.6% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 1.5% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
37.4%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +38.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.4% | 59.9% | — | — | |
| 6.4% | 17.1% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 14.5% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 8.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 62.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Burlington-Plattsburgh media market? 861,911 residents across 17 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
41% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
862K
Share of U.S. population
0.26%
Voting-age population
77.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$81,165
Poverty rate
10.8%
College degree
40.7%
Homeownership
72.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
43.4 yrs
Age 18–29
16.0%
Age 65+
21.2%
Foreign born
4.4%
Non-English at home
5.7%
English only
94.3%
Turnout in Burlington-Plattsburgh
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
71.7%
+0.8pp
667,480
1988–2024
How competitive is Burlington-Plattsburgh?
Safe DAvg margin: D+23.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+31.6
2012
D+30.4
2016
D+19.1
2020
D+27.2
2024
D+22.8
12.6pp
0
D+26.2
Do voters in Burlington-Plattsburgh split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+25.8 | R+42.1 | 67.8pp |
| President vs Governor | D+22.8 | R+42.1 | 64.9pp |
| President vs Senate | D+22.8 | D+25.8 | 2.9pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 31.9pp
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