How did MN-04, Minnesota vote in the 2024 presidential election?

MN-04, Minnesota voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+35.5. The Democratic candidate received 251,495 votes and the Republican candidate received 117,085 out of 378,602 total votes cast, a 2.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is MN-04, Minnesota's political history?

MN-04, Minnesota has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 6.3 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of MN-04, Minnesota?

MN-04, Minnesota has a population of 713,326 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 62.2% non-Hispanic white, 7.4% Hispanic, 11.3% Black.

Which places are most similar to MN-04, Minnesota?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar congressional districts to MN-04, Minnesota are WA-07, WA-01, NC-04. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Minnesota's 4th Congressional District

Minnesota

Safe Democratic — presidential lean D+35.5 in 2024

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

POPULATION
713K
PRES MARGIN
D+35.5
2024
LEAN
Safe D

Place Story

What defines Minnesota's 4th Congressional District

Methodology

Reliably Democratic since 2008
- Safe D
- 5 straight D wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+6.3 in 2020
- 2016 → 2020

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside MN-04 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Peer discovery

Similar districts

Districts with comparable demographics and electoral dynamics.

TBD_2

WA-07

Washington

Similarity97%

+7 more

WA-01 and others

Similarity0%

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Minnesota's 4th Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

MN-04Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 62.2%Asian 13.8%Black 11.3%Hispanic 7.4%Multiracial 4.5%Native American 0.7%

Group	MN-04	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	62.2%	75.9%	57.4%
▶Asian(6)	13.8%	5.1%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(15)	11.3%	7.0%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	7.4%	6.4%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	4.5%	4.7%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.1%	—	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.7%	0.9%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

MN-04 vs Minnesota vs National713K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

713K

local

713KState 5.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.21%

local

0.21%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.0%

local

77.0%State 74.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $90,564National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 9.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 72.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 8.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 12.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 87.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in MN-04

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

68.9%

vs Previous

-3.5pp

Voting-Age Pop

549,363

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is MN-04?

Safe DAvg margin: D+34.7 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+27.4

2012

D+27.9

2016

D+31.2

2020

D+37.5

2024

D+35.5

Elasticity

10.1pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+31.9

Minnesota Comparison Set

Other Minnesota Districts

Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.

14 sibling districts

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