How did Youngstown vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Youngstown voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+21.5. Kamala D Harris received 122,603 votes and Donald Trump received 190,600 out of 315,700 total votes cast, a 6.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Youngstown's political history?

Youngstown has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 20 and Republicans 20 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 39.9 points in 1936.

What are the demographics of Youngstown?

Youngstown has a population of 637,381 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 82.5% non-Hispanic white, 3.7% Hispanic, 8.8% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $57,487.

Which places are most similar to Youngstown?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Youngstown are Presque Isle, Wheeling-Steubenville, Alpena. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Youngstown

Latest: 2024↓ R+6.2 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 6.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 637K residents — 4 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	82.5%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	3.7%
▶Black / African American(9)	8.8%
▶Asian(5)	0.6%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.6%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	4.2%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	16.8%	36.8%
Evangelical Protestant	15.0%	32.9%
Mainline Protestant	7.9%	17.4%
Black Protestant	3.6%	7.9%
Other	1.6%	3.5%
Orthodox Christian	0.7%	1.5%
LDS (Mormon)	0.2%	0.5%
Non-religious	54.2%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+21.5
2020	Trump+15.4
2016	Trump+10.9
2012	Obama+15.8
2008	Obama+16.0
2004	Kerry+16.5
2000	Gore+16.9
1996	Clinton+27.5
1992	Clinton+22.5

View full election history →

Youngstown is a media market that has a population of 637,381. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+21.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Youngstown Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	38.8%	60.4%	R+21.5	R+6.2
2020	41.7%	57.0%	R+15.4	R+4.5
2016	41.7%	52.6%	R+10.9	R+26.7
2012	57.0%	41.2%	D+15.8	R+0.2
2008	56.7%	40.7%	D+16.0	R+0.5
2004	57.9%	41.5%	D+16.5	R+0.4
2000	56.4%	39.6%	D+16.9	R+10.6
1996	56.9%	29.4%	D+27.5	D+5.1
1992	49.1%	26.7%	D+22.5	D+4.5
1988	58.6%	40.7%	D+17.9	D+8.7
1984	54.2%	44.9%	D+9.2	D+5.7
1980	47.6%	44.0%	D+3.5	R+12.5
1976	56.9%	40.8%	D+16.1	D+27.8
1972	43.1%	54.8%	R+11.7	R+22.4
1968	50.6%	39.9%	D+10.7	R+26.3
1964	68.5%	31.5%	D+37.0	D+29.8
1960	53.6%	46.4%	D+7.2	D+20.6
1956	43.3%	56.7%	R+13.4	R+14.3
1952	50.4%	49.5%	D+0.9	R+13.2
1948	56.3%	42.3%	D+14.0	—

Political Identity

What defines Youngstown?

Youngstown has been trending Republican — 37pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Presque Isle

Small-town rural republican 2

R+26.2

Similarity score92%

Wheeling-Steubenville

Small-town rural republican

R+45.6

Similarity score87%

Alpena

Small-town rural republican 2

R+32.6

Similarity score85%

Zanesville

Small-town rural republican

R+43.9

Similarity score83%

Elmira (Corning)

Small-town rural republican

R+29.7

Similarity score83%

Bluefield-Beckley-Oak Hill

Small-town rural republican

R+55.7

Similarity score82%

Toledo

Small-town rural republican 3

R+14.3

Similarity score82%

Parkersburg

Small-town rural republican

R+44.0

Similarity score81%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Youngstown

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Mahoning	226K	R+9.4	50,636	61,249	112,705	35.7%
Trumbull	201K	R+16.8	39,758	55,983	96,532	30.6%
Mercer	109K	R+30.2	20,145	37,761	58,410	18.5%
Columbiana	101K	R+49.0	12,064	35,607	48,053	15.2%

4 countiesTotal votes: 315,700

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Youngstown's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Youngstown media market voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 21.5% margin
Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
Shifted 37.3 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

YoungstownCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 82.5%Black 8.8%Multiracial 4.2%Hispanic 3.7%Asian 0.6%

Group	Youngstown	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	82.5%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(9)	8.8%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.2%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	3.7%	19.3%
▶Asian(5)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

45.8%(291.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	16.8%	36.8%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	15.0%	32.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	7.9%	17.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.6%	7.9%	—	—
Other	1.6%	3.5%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.7%	1.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.2%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	54.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Youngstown media market? 637,381 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Youngstown vs National637K residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

637K

local

637KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.19%

local

0.19%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.8%

local

76.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$57,487

local

$57,487National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.6%

local

16.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.3%

local

23.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.3%

local

71.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.9 yrs

local

43.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.8%

local

13.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.5%

local

22.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.7%

local

1.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.6%

local

4.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.4%

local

95.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Youngstown

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

64.5%

vs Previous

-2.5pp

Voting-Age Pop

489,531

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Youngstown?

Safe RAvg margin: R+15.9 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+16.0

2012

D+15.8

2016

R+10.9

2020

R+15.4

2024

R+21.5

Elasticity

37.5pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+3.2

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Youngstown split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (35/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+21.5	R+12.7	8.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 12.2pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Youngstown sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Ohio(State)Pennsylvania(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Media Market Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo