Victoria
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 91K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 48.1% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 5.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 26.3% | 46.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.9% | 40.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 6.9% |
| Other | 1.8% | 3.2% |
| Black Protestant | 1.4% | 2.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 43.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+42.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+38.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+39.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+37.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+41.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+38.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+25.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+21.1 |
Victoria is a media market that has a population of 91,413. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+42.5. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.3% | 70.8% | R+42.5 | R+4.5 |
| 2020 | 30.4% | 68.3% | R+38.0 | D+1.7 |
| 2016 | 28.3% | 67.9% | R+39.6 | R+1.9 |
| 2012 | 30.5% | 68.2% | R+37.7 | R+4.3 |
| 2008 | 32.8% | 66.2% | R+33.5 | D+8.2 |
| 2004 | 28.9% | 70.5% | R+41.6 | R+2.9 |
| 2000 | 29.8% | 68.5% | R+38.7 | R+12.9 |
| 1996 | 34.2% | 59.9% | R+25.8 | R+4.7 |
| 1992 | 29.2% | 50.3% | R+21.1 | D+4.2 |
| 1988 | 36.8% | 62.1% | R+25.3 | D+20.0 |
| 1984 | 27.1% | 72.4% | R+45.3 | R+17.0 |
| 1980 | 34.7% | 63.0% | R+28.3 | R+14.9 |
| 1976 | 43.0% | 56.3% | R+13.3 | D+32.0 |
| 1972 | 27.3% | 72.6% | R+45.3 | R+43.2 |
| 1968 | 41.0% | 43.1% | R+2.1 | R+34.0 |
| 1964 | 65.8% | 34.0% | D+31.9 | D+20.4 |
| 1960 | 55.6% | 44.2% | D+11.4 | D+37.4 |
| 1956 | 36.8% | 62.8% | R+26.0 | R+10.2 |
| 1952 | 42.1% | 57.9% | R+15.8 | R+44.9 |
| 1948 | 60.2% | 31.2% | D+29.0 | — |
What defines Victoria?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (58% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Victoria
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria | 91K | R+42.5 | 9,998 | 25,010 | 35,315 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 35,315
Ask the Historian
Explore Victoria's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 42.5% margin
- College attainment is 20% — 13pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Victoria | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 48.1% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 5.9% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
56.3%
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.3% | 46.7% | — | — | |
| 22.9% | 40.7% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 6.9% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 3.2% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 43.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Victoria media market? 91,413 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
91K
Share of U.S. population
0.03%
Voting-age population
73.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$70,896
Poverty rate
16.3%
College degree
19.9%
Homeownership
65.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
36.7 yrs
Age 18–29
15.6%
Age 65+
17.1%
Foreign born
7.1%
Non-English at home
23.7%
English only
76.3%
Turnout in Victoria
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
52.6%
+1.7pp
67,177
1988–2024
How competitive is Victoria?
Safe RAvg margin: R+40.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+33.5
2012
R+37.7
2016
R+39.6
2020
R+38.0
2024
R+42.5
9.0pp
0
R+38.3
Do voters in Victoria split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (76/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+42.5 | R+39.7 | 2.8pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 5.7pp
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