Arkadelphia, AR
Safe Republican — shifted 6.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 21K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 67.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 5.6% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 23.3% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 60.8% | 76.0% |
| Black Protestant | 8.2% | 10.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.1% | 7.7% |
| Other | 3.6% | 4.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.7% | 2.1% |
| Catholic | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 20.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+20.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+9.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+6.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+3.7 |
| 2004 | Kerry+9.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+10.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+39.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+37.7 |
Arkadelphia, AR is a metro area that has a population of 21,125. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+20.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.6% | 59.1% | R+20.5 | R+6.4 |
| 2020 | 41.0% | 55.0% | R+14.0 | R+4.5 |
| 2016 | 44.0% | 53.6% | R+9.5 | R+3.2 |
| 2012 | 45.3% | 51.6% | R+6.3 | R+2.6 |
| 2008 | 46.9% | 50.7% | R+3.7 | R+12.9 |
| 2004 | 54.2% | 45.0% | D+9.2 | R+1.1 |
| 2000 | 54.0% | 43.8% | D+10.3 | R+28.8 |
| 1996 | 65.0% | 26.0% | D+39.0 | D+1.3 |
| 1992 | 64.6% | 26.9% | D+37.7 | D+21.9 |
| 1988 | 57.5% | 41.7% | D+15.8 | D+10.7 |
| 1984 | 52.4% | 47.3% | D+5.1 | R+31.8 |
| 1980 | 66.9% | 30.0% | D+36.9 | R+20.0 |
| 1976 | 78.3% | 21.4% | D+56.9 | D+77.5 |
| 1972 | 39.4% | 60.0% | R+20.6 | R+35.8 |
| 1968 | 38.2% | 23.0% | D+15.3 | R+21.9 |
| 1964 | 68.4% | 31.2% | D+37.2 | R+1.0 |
| 1960 | 64.8% | 26.7% | D+38.1 | D+20.9 |
| 1956 | 58.0% | 40.8% | D+17.3 | R+10.4 |
| 1952 | 63.8% | 36.1% | D+27.6 | R+26.9 |
| 1948 | 69.7% | 15.3% | D+54.5 | — |
What defines Arkadelphia, AR?
Arkadelphia, AR has been trending Republican — 14pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Arkadelphia, AR
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark | 21K | R+20.5 | 2,959 | 4,526 | 7,657 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 20.5% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2004, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Arkadelphia, AR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 67.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 23.3% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 5.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -79.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.8% | 76.0% | — | — | |
| 8.2% | 10.3% | — | — | |
| 6.1% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 3.6% | 4.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.7% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 1.2% | 1.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 20.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Arkadelphia, AR metro area? 21,125 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Arkadelphia, AR
How competitive is Arkadelphia, AR?
Do voters in Arkadelphia, AR split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+23.2 | R+14.6 | 8.6pp |