How did Natchitoches, LA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Natchitoches, LA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+22.3. Kamala D Harris received 5,740 votes and Donald Trump received 9,100 out of 15,040 total votes cast, a 7.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Natchitoches, LA's political history?

Natchitoches, LA has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The largest single-election swing was 83.6 points in 1872.

What are the demographics of Natchitoches, LA?

Natchitoches, LA has a population of 36,693 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 50.5% non-Hispanic white, 3.9% Hispanic, 39.7% Black. About 26% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $46,292.

Which places are most similar to Natchitoches, LA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Natchitoches, LA are Troy, AL, Ruston, LA, Arkadelphia, AR. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Natchitoches, LA

Latest: 2024↓ R+7.5 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 7.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 37K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	50.5%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	3.9%
▶Black / African American(7)	39.7%
▶Asian(6)	0.7%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	1.0%
Multiracial / Other	4.3%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	33.0%	62.3%
Catholic	11.2%	21.2%
Mainline Protestant	4.0%	7.6%
Black Protestant	2.8%	5.3%
Other	1.9%	3.7%
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	2.0%
Non-religious	47.0%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+22.3
2020	Trump+14.9
2016	Trump+11.0
2012	Romney+6.6
2008	McCain+7.3
2004	Bush+11.0
2000	Bush+2.7
1996	Clinton+18.6
1992	Clinton+8.7

View full election history →

Natchitoches, LA is a metro area that has a population of 36,693. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Natchitoches, LA Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	38.2%	60.5%	R+22.3	R+7.5
2020	41.7%	56.5%	R+14.9	R+3.9
2016	43.0%	54.0%	R+11.0	R+4.4
2012	46.0%	52.6%	R+6.6	D+0.8
2008	45.7%	53.0%	R+7.3	D+3.6
2004	43.6%	54.6%	R+11.0	R+8.2
2000	46.6%	49.4%	R+2.7	R+21.4
1996	54.7%	36.1%	D+18.6	D+10.0
1992	47.2%	38.5%	D+8.7	D+16.5
1988	44.8%	52.6%	R+7.8	D+12.4
1984	38.8%	59.0%	R+20.2	R+23.3
1980	50.1%	47.0%	D+3.1	R+8.6
1976	53.9%	42.3%	D+11.6	D+46.9
1972	29.4%	64.7%	R+35.3	R+48.8
1968	33.4%	19.9%	D+13.5	D+43.5
1964	35.0%	65.0%	R+30.0	R+33.1
1960	39.4%	36.3%	D+3.1	D+23.5
1956	35.1%	55.5%	R+20.4	R+31.4
1952	55.5%	44.5%	D+11.1	R+6.3
1948	31.6%	14.3%	D+17.4	—

Political Identity

What defines Natchitoches, LA?

Natchitoches, LA has been trending Republican — 16pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (50% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Educated rural competitive

R+25.4

Similarity score95%

Arkadelphia, AR

Educated rural competitive

Constituent Geography

Counties in Natchitoches, LA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Natchitoches	37K	R+22.3	5,740	9,100	15,040	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 15,040

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Natchitoches, LA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Natchitoches, LA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.3% margin
Shifted 15.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Natchitoches, LACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 50.5%Black 39.7%Multiracial 4.3%Hispanic 3.9%Native American 1.0%Asian 0.7%

Group	Natchitoches, LA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	50.5%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(7)	39.7%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.3%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	3.9%	19.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	1.0%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	0.7%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

53.0%(19.4K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -45.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	33.0%	62.3%	—	—
Catholic	11.2%	21.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.0%	7.6%	—	—
Black Protestant	2.8%	5.3%	—	—
Other	1.9%	3.7%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	2.0%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	47.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Natchitoches, LA metro area? 36,693 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Natchitoches, LA vs National37K residents

26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37K

local

37KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

70.6%

local

70.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$46,292

local

$46,292National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.4%

local

25.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.8%

local

25.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

61.0%

local

61.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.4 yrs

local

33.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.3%

local

23.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.1%

local

17.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.6%

local

1.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.5%

local

3.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

96.5%

local

96.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Natchitoches, LA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

58.0%

vs Previous

-5.9pp

Voting-Age Pop

25,914

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Natchitoches, LA?

Safe RAvg margin: R+16.1 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+7.3

2012

R+6.6

2016

R+11.0

2020

R+14.9

2024

R+22.3

Elasticity

15.8pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+12.4

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Natchitoches, LA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (19/100)

2020 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+14.9	R+35.0	20.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 14.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Natchitoches, LA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Louisiana(State)

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