Austin, MN
Leans Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 13.6% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 3.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 24.8% | 44.3% |
| Catholic | 22.0% | 39.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.8% | 14.0% |
| Other | 1.2% | 2.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 44.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+10.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+5.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+7.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+22.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+23.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+23.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+20.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+30.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+23.7 |
Austin, MN is a metro area that has a population of 40,343. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+10.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.8% | 54.3% | R+10.5 | R+4.6 |
| 2020 | 46.0% | 51.8% | R+5.8 | D+2.0 |
| 2016 | 42.0% | 49.8% | R+7.8 | R+30.4 |
| 2012 | 60.0% | 37.4% | D+22.6 | R+1.0 |
| 2008 | 60.5% | 36.9% | D+23.6 | D+0.2 |
| 2004 | 61.0% | 37.5% | D+23.5 | D+2.8 |
| 2000 | 57.9% | 37.2% | D+20.7 | R+9.3 |
| 1996 | 57.6% | 27.6% | D+30.0 | D+6.3 |
| 1992 | 49.2% | 25.5% | D+23.7 | R+2.2 |
| 1988 | 62.5% | 36.6% | D+25.9 | D+4.4 |
| 1984 | 60.5% | 39.0% | D+21.5 | D+8.6 |
| 1980 | 51.8% | 38.9% | D+12.9 | R+8.8 |
| 1976 | 59.7% | 38.0% | D+21.8 | D+20.0 |
| 1972 | 50.1% | 48.4% | D+1.7 | R+15.1 |
| 1968 | 56.6% | 39.7% | D+16.9 | R+18.2 |
| 1964 | 67.4% | 32.3% | D+35.1 | D+40.2 |
| 1960 | 47.3% | 52.4% | R+5.1 | R+3.3 |
| 1956 | 48.8% | 50.7% | R+1.9 | D+5.2 |
| 1952 | 46.1% | 53.2% | R+7.1 | R+31.9 |
| 1948 | 61.9% | 37.1% | D+24.8 | — |
What defines Austin, MN?
Austin, MN has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Austin, MN
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mower | 40K | R+10.5 | 8,312 | 10,297 | 18,969 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 34.1 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Austin, MN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.5% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 13.6% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.3% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 3.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +21.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.8% | 44.3% | — | — | |
| 22.0% | 39.4% | — | — | |
| 7.8% | 14.0% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 44.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Austin, MN metro area? 40,343 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Austin, MN
How competitive is Austin, MN?
Do voters in Austin, MN split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+10.5 | D+5.2 | 15.7pp |