Kahului-Wailuku, HI
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 9.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 165K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 29.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 10.6% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 28.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 10.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 20.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 20.8% | 44.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.2% | 28.2% |
| Other | 10.5% | 22.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.6% | 9.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.1% | 4.5% |
| Non-religious | 53.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+25.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+35.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+38.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+50.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+55.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+22.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+27.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+32.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+21.2 |
Kahului-Wailuku, HI is a metro area that has a population of 164,589. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+25.9. Akashic Edge tracks 17 presidential elections here, dating back to 1960.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61.9% | 36.0% | D+25.9 | R+9.6 |
| 2020 | 66.6% | 31.1% | D+35.5 | R+3.1 |
| 2016 | 64.5% | 25.9% | D+38.6 | R+11.7 |
| 2012 | 74.1% | 23.8% | D+50.3 | R+4.9 |
| 2008 | 76.7% | 21.5% | D+55.2 | D+32.8 |
| 2004 | 60.7% | 38.3% | D+22.4 | R+4.7 |
| 2000 | 59.8% | 32.8% | D+27.0 | R+5.3 |
| 1996 | 59.1% | 26.7% | D+32.4 | D+11.2 |
| 1992 | 51.3% | 30.2% | D+21.2 | D+6.3 |
| 1988 | 56.8% | 42.0% | D+14.9 | D+21.1 |
| 1984 | 46.2% | 52.4% | R+6.2 | R+15.2 |
| 1980 | 49.2% | 40.2% | D+9.0 | D+1.9 |
| 1976 | 52.9% | 45.8% | D+7.1 | D+29.3 |
| 1972 | 38.9% | 61.1% | R+22.2 | R+45.3 |
| 1968 | 60.8% | 37.8% | D+23.1 | R+33.1 |
| 1964 | 78.1% | 21.9% | D+56.2 | D+65.8 |
| 1960 | 45.2% | 54.8% | R+9.6 | — |
What defines Kahului-Wailuku, HI?
Kahului-Wailuku, HI has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Kapaa, HI
Diverse rural democratic
Hilo-Kailua, HI
Diverse rural democratic
Urban Honolulu, HI
Diverse rural democratic
Vallejo, CA
Diverse rural democratic
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Diverse rural democratic
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA
Diverse rural democratic
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
Diverse rural democratic
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Diverse rural democratic
Counties in Kahului-Wailuku, HI
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maui | 165K | D+25.9 | 38,905 | 22,621 | 62,893 | 100.0% |
| Kalawao County | 67 | E | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
2 countiesTotal votes: 62,893
Ask the Historian
Explore Kahului-Wailuku, HI's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 25.9% margin
- Shifted 24.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Kahului-Wailuku, HI | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 29.0% | 57.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 28.2% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 20.9% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 10.6% | 19.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 10.1% | 0.2% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.8% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
46.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +11.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.8% | 44.6% | — | — | |
| 13.2% | 28.2% | — | — | |
| 10.5% | 22.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 4.6% | 9.9% | — | — |
| 2.1% | 4.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 53.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Kahului-Wailuku, HI metro area? 164,589 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
165K
Share of U.S. population
0.05%
Voting-age population
77.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$97,144
Poverty rate
9.2%
College degree
31.0%
Homeownership
65.6%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
43.2 yrs
Age 18–29
11.9%
Age 65+
20.7%
Foreign born
17.1%
Non-English at home
22.0%
English only
78.0%
Turnout in Kahului-Wailuku, HI
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
49.3%
-6.4pp
127,483
1988–2024
How competitive is Kahului-Wailuku, HI?
Safe DAvg margin: D+33.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+55.2
2012
D+50.3
2016
D+38.6
2020
D+35.5
2024
D+25.9
29.3pp
0
D+41.1
Do voters in Kahului-Wailuku, HI split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+25.9 | D+39.1 | 13.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 24.7pp
Located In
Kahului-Wailuku, HI sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Unlock Metro Area Analytics
Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file