Burley, ID
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 48K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 33.3% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.3% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 36.4% | 69.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 35.5% | 68.4% |
| Catholic | 8.3% | 16.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.0% | 11.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.2% | 2.4% |
| Non-religious | 48.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+63.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+57.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+65.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+57.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+65.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+61.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+35.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+27.9 |
Burley, ID is a metro area that has a population of 47,691. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+66.4. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.6% | 82.1% | R+66.4 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 17.1% | 80.4% | R+63.3 | R+5.9 |
| 2016 | 14.6% | 72.0% | R+57.4 | D+8.2 |
| 2012 | 16.2% | 81.8% | R+65.6 | R+8.6 |
| 2008 | 20.0% | 77.1% | R+57.1 | D+8.7 |
| 2004 | 16.5% | 82.3% | R+65.7 | R+4.4 |
| 2000 | 17.6% | 78.9% | R+61.3 | R+25.9 |
| 1996 | 24.8% | 60.3% | R+35.4 | R+7.6 |
| 1992 | 21.1% | 48.9% | R+27.9 | D+13.0 |
| 1988 | 28.8% | 69.6% | R+40.8 | D+25.8 |
| 1984 | 16.2% | 82.8% | R+66.6 | R+8.7 |
| 1980 | 18.7% | 76.5% | R+57.9 | R+28.9 |
| 1976 | 32.6% | 61.6% | R+29.0 | D+21.8 |
| 1972 | 20.6% | 71.5% | R+50.9 | R+12.4 |
| 1968 | 22.0% | 60.5% | R+38.5 | R+25.1 |
| 1964 | 43.3% | 56.7% | R+13.4 | D+8.4 |
| 1960 | 39.1% | 60.9% | R+21.8 | D+11.1 |
| 1956 | 33.5% | 66.5% | R+32.9 | D+11.5 |
| 1952 | 27.8% | 72.2% | R+44.4 | R+41.5 |
| 1948 | 47.5% | 50.3% | R+2.9 | — |
What defines Burley, ID?
It has a working-class electorate (19% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Burley, ID
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Burley, ID's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 66.4% margin
- College attainment is 19% — 14pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Burley, ID | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.8% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 33.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.8% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.3% | 12.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
52.0%
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.4% | 69.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 35.5% | 68.4% | — | — |
| 8.3% | 16.1% | — | — | |
| 6.0% | 11.6% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 48.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Burley, ID metro area? 47,691 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
48K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
69.3%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$70,609
Poverty rate
13.4%
College degree
18.7%
Homeownership
68.9%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
34.0 yrs
Age 18–29
15.8%
Age 65+
15.2%
Foreign born
11.0%
Non-English at home
23.9%
English only
76.1%
Turnout in Burley, ID
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
52.9%
-0.4pp
33,049
1988–2024
How competitive is Burley, ID?
Safe RAvg margin: R+62.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+57.1
2012
R+65.6
2016
R+57.4
2020
R+63.3
2024
R+66.4
9.4pp
0
R+62.0
Do voters in Burley, ID split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (31/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+67.2 | R+62.0 | 5.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 12.9pp
Located In
Burley, ID sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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