Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 61K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 51.6% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 1.4% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.9% | 40.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 21.4% | 40.1% |
| Other | 5.1% | 9.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 7.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.2% | 6.0% |
| Black Protestant | 1.2% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 46.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+55.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+51.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+41.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+33.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+25.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.5 |
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM is a metro area that has a population of 61,105. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+55.8. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.4% | 77.3% | R+55.8 | R+4.0 |
| 2020 | 23.4% | 75.2% | R+51.8 | R+10.5 |
| 2016 | 25.6% | 66.8% | R+41.3 | R+7.8 |
| 2012 | 31.9% | 65.3% | R+33.4 | R+7.8 |
| 2008 | 36.6% | 62.2% | R+25.6 | D+5.9 |
| 2004 | 33.9% | 65.5% | R+31.5 | R+13.4 |
| 2000 | 40.0% | 58.1% | R+18.1 | R+20.4 |
| 1996 | 47.2% | 44.9% | D+2.2 | D+1.7 |
| 1992 | 40.7% | 40.2% | D+0.5 | D+7.3 |
| 1988 | 46.1% | 52.9% | R+6.8 | D+16.2 |
| 1984 | 38.0% | 61.0% | R+23.0 | R+6.9 |
| 1980 | 40.5% | 56.6% | R+16.1 | R+24.2 |
| 1976 | 53.7% | 45.6% | D+8.1 | D+39.9 |
| 1972 | 32.8% | 64.6% | R+31.8 | R+24.5 |
| 1968 | 40.4% | 47.7% | R+7.3 | R+32.1 |
| 1964 | 62.2% | 37.4% | D+24.8 | D+21.0 |
| 1960 | 51.9% | 48.1% | D+3.8 | R+3.2 |
| 1956 | 53.5% | 46.5% | D+7.0 | R+3.3 |
| 1952 | 55.1% | 44.9% | D+10.3 | R+41.5 |
| 1948 | 75.9% | 24.1% | D+51.8 | — |
What defines Carlsbad-Artesia, NM?
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM has been trending Republican — 22pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (57% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddy | 61K | R+55.9 | 5,032 | 18,141 | 23,472 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 23,472
Ask the Historian
Explore Carlsbad-Artesia, NM's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 55.8% margin
- Shifted 22.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Carlsbad-Artesia, NM | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 51.6% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.6% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 1.4% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
53.5%
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.9% | 40.9% | — | — | |
| 21.4% | 40.1% | — | — | |
| 5.1% | 9.5% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 7.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 3.2% | 6.0% | — | — |
| 1.2% | 2.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 46.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Carlsbad-Artesia, NM metro area? 61,105 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
61K
Share of U.S. population
0.02%
Voting-age population
72.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$78,426
Poverty rate
13.8%
College degree
19.3%
Homeownership
73.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
36.2 yrs
Age 18–29
15.4%
Age 65+
14.8%
Foreign born
7.7%
Non-English at home
28.3%
English only
71.7%
Turnout in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
53.0%
+0.6pp
44,296
1988–2024
How competitive is Carlsbad-Artesia, NM?
Safe RAvg margin: R+49.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+25.6
2012
R+33.4
2016
R+41.3
2020
R+51.8
2024
R+55.8
30.2pp
1
R+41.6
Do voters in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+55.8 | R+47.4 | 8.4pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 17.2pp
Located In
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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