How did Cleveland, MS vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Cleveland, MS voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+23.7. Kamala D Harris received 6,419 votes and Donald Trump received 3,943 out of 10,435 total votes cast, a 7.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Cleveland, MS's political history?

Cleveland, MS has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976. The largest single-election swing was 103.2 points in 1892.

What are the demographics of Cleveland, MS?

Cleveland, MS has a population of 29,534 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 31.0% non-Hispanic white, 2.7% Hispanic, 63.2% Black. About 28% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $39,585.

Which places are most similar to Cleveland, MS?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Cleveland, MS are Clarksdale, MS, Greenwood, MS, Greenville, MS. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Cleveland, MS

Latest: 2024↓ R+7.0 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 7.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 30K residents — 1 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

POPULATION
30K
COUNTIES
1
PRES MARGIN
D+23.7
2024
TURNOUT
50.4%
MEDIAN INCOME
$40K

Place Story

What defines Cleveland, MS

Methodology

Reliably Democratic since 1976
- Safe D
- 13 straight D wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+103.2 in 1892
- 1888 → 1892
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 63% Black (+51pp vs national)
- 63% Black (+51pp vs national)
- 31% non-Hispanic white (-26pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 53pp over Catholics
- 7% Catholic / 60% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 21.6pp ahead of Senate
- Divergence 21.6pp in 2000
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Constituent Geography

Counties in Cleveland, MS

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Bolivar	30K	D+23.7	6,419	3,943	10,435	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 10,435

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Cleveland, MS's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Cleveland, MS metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Cleveland, MSCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Black 63.2%White (Non-Hispanic) 31.0%Hispanic 2.7%Multiracial 2.1%Asian 1.0%

Group	Cleveland, MS	National
▶Black / African American(4)	63.2%	12.2%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12)	31.0%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(4)	2.7%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.1%	4.0%
▶Asian(5)	1.0%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

55.9%(16.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -57.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	33.5%	59.9%	—	—
Black Protestant	12.3%	22.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.1%	9.1%	—	—
Catholic	3.6%	6.5%	—	—
Other	1.4%	2.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	44.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Cleveland, MS metro area? 29,534 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Cleveland, MS vs National30K residents

28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

30K

local

30KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

70.1%

local

70.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$39,585

local

$39,585National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

32.6%

local

32.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

28.0%

local

28.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

62.6%

local

62.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.5 yrs

local

37.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.0%

local

16.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.1%

local

17.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.7%

local

1.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.0%

local

3.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.0%

local

97.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Cleveland, MS

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

50.4%

vs Previous

-16.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

20,710

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Cleveland, MS?

Safe DAvg margin: D+28.9 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+35.4

2012

D+38.1

2016

D+32.2

2020

D+30.8

2024

D+23.7

Elasticity

14.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+32.0

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Cleveland, MS split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (50/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+23.7	D+20.4	3.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 10.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Cleveland, MS sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Mississippi(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo