Greenville, MS
Safe Democratic — shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 43K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 23.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 1.6% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 71.6% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.1% | 56.7% |
| Black Protestant | 23.2% | 29.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.0% | 6.3% |
| Catholic | 3.8% | 4.8% |
| Other | 2.4% | 3.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 20.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+35.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+40.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+36.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+42.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+34.7 |
| 2004 | Kerry+19.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+16.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+18.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+15.2 |
Greenville, MS is a metro area that has a population of 42,765. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+35.0. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 67.0% | 32.0% | D+35.0 | R+5.0 |
| 2020 | 69.4% | 29.4% | D+40.0 | D+3.5 |
| 2016 | 67.6% | 31.2% | D+36.5 | R+5.8 |
| 2012 | 70.9% | 28.7% | D+42.3 | D+7.5 |
| 2008 | 67.1% | 32.4% | D+34.7 | D+15.1 |
| 2004 | 59.0% | 39.4% | D+19.6 | D+3.0 |
| 2000 | 56.8% | 40.2% | D+16.6 | R+2.3 |
| 1996 | 57.6% | 38.8% | D+18.9 | D+3.7 |
| 1992 | 53.8% | 38.6% | D+15.2 | D+15.2 |
| 1988 | 49.4% | 49.4% | Even | D+7.8 |
| 1984 | 45.3% | 53.2% | R+7.8 | R+16.5 |
| 1980 | 53.3% | 44.6% | D+8.7 | R+3.3 |
| 1976 | 53.2% | 41.2% | D+12.0 | D+45.2 |
| 1972 | 30.6% | 63.8% | R+33.2 | R+46.4 |
| 1968 | 36.0% | 22.8% | D+13.2 | D+60.6 |
| 1964 | 26.3% | 73.7% | R+47.4 | R+59.6 |
| 1960 | 46.7% | 34.4% | D+12.2 | R+1.4 |
| 1956 | 49.6% | 35.9% | D+13.6 | D+25.2 |
| 1952 | 44.2% | 55.8% | R+11.5 | R+11.2 |
| 1948 | 8.7% | 9.1% | R+0.4 | — |
What defines Greenville, MS?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Greenville, MS
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 43K | D+35.0 | 9,735 | 4,649 | 14,540 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 35.0% margin
- College attainment is 22% — 11pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Greenville, MS | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Black / African American(4) | 71.6% | 12.2% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 23.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 1.6% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -56.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1% | 56.7% | — | — | |
| 23.2% | 29.2% | — | — | |
| 5.0% | 6.3% | — | — | |
| 3.8% | 4.8% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 3.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 20.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Greenville, MS metro area? 42,765 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Greenville, MS
How competitive is Greenville, MS?
Do voters in Greenville, MS split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+35.0 | D+31.3 | 3.7pp |