Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 300K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 10.6% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 7.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.4% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.7% | 53.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.9% | 19.2% |
| Catholic | 8.5% | 18.2% |
| Other | 3.3% | 7.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.0% | 4.3% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 53.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+47.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+42.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+49.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+49.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+45.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+54.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+46.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+33.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+30.0 |
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL is a metro area that has a population of 299,547. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+47.1. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.0% | 73.1% | R+47.1 | R+4.5 |
| 2020 | 27.9% | 70.4% | R+42.6 | D+7.2 |
| 2016 | 22.8% | 72.6% | R+49.8 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 24.3% | 74.1% | R+49.8 | R+4.8 |
| 2008 | 26.9% | 71.9% | R+45.0 | D+9.2 |
| 2004 | 22.5% | 76.7% | R+54.2 | R+7.4 |
| 2000 | 25.4% | 72.2% | R+46.8 | R+13.0 |
| 1996 | 27.8% | 61.6% | R+33.8 | R+3.8 |
| 1992 | 21.1% | 51.2% | R+30.0 | D+26.9 |
| 1988 | 21.2% | 78.1% | R+56.9 | D+6.7 |
| 1984 | 18.2% | 81.8% | R+63.7 | R+28.3 |
| 1980 | 30.6% | 66.0% | R+35.4 | R+30.3 |
| 1976 | 46.7% | 51.8% | R+5.1 | D+71.5 |
| 1972 | 11.4% | 88.1% | R+76.6 | R+68.2 |
| 1968 | 14.7% | 23.2% | R+8.5 | D+5.6 |
| 1964 | 43.0% | 57.0% | R+14.0 | R+45.8 |
| 1960 | 65.9% | 34.1% | D+31.7 | R+2.5 |
| 1956 | 67.1% | 32.9% | D+34.3 | R+5.6 |
| 1952 | 69.9% | 30.1% | D+39.9 | R+8.1 |
| 1948 | 62.6% | 14.6% | D+48.0 | — |
What defines Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
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Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
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Small-town rural republican 3
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Bismarck, ND
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Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
Small-town rural republican 3
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Rapid City, SD
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Kalispell, MT
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Counties in Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 47.1% margin
- Swung 4.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.6% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 10.6% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 7.8% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
46.4%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -39.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.7% | 53.1% | — | — | |
| 8.9% | 19.2% | — | — | |
| 8.5% | 18.2% | — | — | |
| 3.3% | 7.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.0% | 4.3% | — | — |
| 1.0% | 2.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 53.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL metro area? 299,547 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
300K
Share of U.S. population
0.09%
Voting-age population
75.8%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$81,995
Poverty rate
10.2%
College degree
34.9%
Homeownership
71.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.2 yrs
Age 18–29
14.7%
Age 65+
17.6%
Foreign born
8.7%
Non-English at home
11.4%
English only
88.6%
Turnout in Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
71.9%
+1.4pp
227,079
1988–2024
How competitive is Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL?
Safe RAvg margin: R+46.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+45.0
2012
R+49.8
2016
R+49.8
2020
R+42.6
2024
R+47.1
7.2pp
0
R+46.9
Do voters in Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (55/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+47.1 | R+50.3 | 3.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 9.3pp
Located In
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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