How did Danville, VA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Danville, VA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+21.2. Kamala D Harris received 20,214 votes and Donald Trump received 31,204 out of 51,767 total votes cast, a 3.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Danville, VA's political history?

Danville, VA has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The largest single-election swing was 84.1 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Danville, VA?

Danville, VA has a population of 102,070 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 59.0% non-Hispanic white, 4.1% Hispanic, 33.0% Black. About 18% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $49,906.

Which places are most similar to Danville, VA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Danville, VA are Martinsville, VA, Kinston, NC, Grenada, MS. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Danville, VA

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.8 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 102K residents — 2 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	59.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	4.1%
▶Black / African American(7)	33.0%
▶Asian(6)	0.7%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.1%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	3.1%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	39.0%	70.4%
Mainline Protestant	6.5%	11.7%
Catholic	4.4%	7.9%
Other	2.8%	5.0%
Black Protestant	2.7%	4.8%
LDS (Mormon)	1.0%	1.7%
Non-religious	44.6%	—

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Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+21.2
2020	Trump+17.4
2016	Trump+17.0
2012	Romney+7.8
2008	McCain+6.5
2004	Bush+18.0
2000	Bush+21.5
1996	Dole+13.7
1992	Bush+12.6

View full election history →

Danville, VA is a metro area that has a population of 102,070. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+21.2. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.

Danville, VA Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	39.0%	60.3%	R+21.2	R+3.8
2020	40.7%	58.2%	R+17.4	R+0.4
2016	40.1%	57.1%	R+17.0	R+9.3
2012	45.3%	53.1%	R+7.8	R+1.3
2008	46.3%	52.8%	R+6.5	D+11.5
2004	40.2%	58.2%	R+18.0	D+3.5
2000	37.7%	59.2%	R+21.5	R+7.7
1996	39.4%	53.1%	R+13.7	R+1.1
1992	38.0%	50.7%	R+12.6	D+14.2
1988	35.7%	62.6%	R+26.8	D+7.1
1984	32.5%	66.4%	R+33.9	R+10.3
1980	36.6%	60.3%	R+23.6	R+9.2
1976	40.9%	55.3%	R+14.4	D+33.1
1972	25.5%	73.0%	R+47.5	R+42.2
1968	27.0%	32.3%	R+5.4	D+15.6
1964	38.9%	59.8%	R+20.9	R+7.9
1960	42.5%	55.6%	R+13.0	R+7.3
1956	42.2%	47.9%	R+5.7	R+3.3
1952	48.5%	50.9%	R+2.4	R+27.0
1948	49.3%	24.7%	D+24.7	—

Political Identity

What defines Danville, VA?

It has a working-class electorate (18% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.

Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Small-town rural republican 2

Constituent Geography

Counties in Danville, VA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Pittsylvania	60K	R+43.1	9,599	24,310	34,100	65.9%
Danville City	42K	D+21.1	10,615	6,894	17,667	34.1%

2 countiesTotal votes: 51,767

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Danville, VA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Danville, VA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 21.2% margin
Shifted 13.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Danville, VACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 59.0%Black 33.0%Hispanic 4.1%Multiracial 3.1%Asian 0.7%

Group	Danville, VA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	59.0%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(7)	33.0%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	4.1%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.1%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	0.7%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.1%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

55.4%(56.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -67.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	39.0%	70.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.5%	11.7%	—	—
Catholic	4.4%	7.9%	—	—
Other	2.8%	5.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	2.7%	4.8%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.0%	1.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	44.6%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Danville, VA metro area? 102,070 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Danville, VA vs National102K residents

18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

102K

local

102KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.3%

local

77.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$49,906

local

$49,906National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.7%

local

18.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.6%

local

17.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

65.3%

local

65.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

44.9 yrs

local

44.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.5%

local

13.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.1%

local

23.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.4%

local

2.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.7%

local

3.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

96.3%

local

96.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Danville, VA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

65.6%

vs Previous

-2.3pp

Voting-Age Pop

78,928

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Danville, VA?

Safe RAvg margin: R+18.6 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+6.5

2012

R+7.8

2016

R+17.0

2020

R+17.4

2024

R+21.2

Elasticity

14.8pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+14.0

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Danville, VA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (44/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+21.2	R+14.9	6.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 11.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Danville, VA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Virginia(State)

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