Martinsville, VA
Safe Republican — shifted 4.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 64K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 7.3% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 26.9% |
▶Asian(2) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.4% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 51.0% | 73.5% |
| Black Protestant | 7.3% | 10.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.3% | 9.1% |
| Catholic | 2.6% | 3.8% |
| Other | 2.1% | 3.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 30.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+22.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+18.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+18.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+6.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+2.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.4 |
Martinsville, VA is a metro area that has a population of 63,638. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.7. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.3% | 61.0% | R+22.7 | R+4.1 |
| 2020 | 40.1% | 58.8% | R+18.7 | D+0.1 |
| 2016 | 39.1% | 57.9% | R+18.8 | R+12.0 |
| 2012 | 45.4% | 52.2% | R+6.8 | R+4.2 |
| 2008 | 48.1% | 50.6% | R+2.6 | D+7.8 |
| 2004 | 44.3% | 54.7% | R+10.4 | R+1.2 |
| 2000 | 44.0% | 53.1% | R+9.1 | R+10.8 |
| 1996 | 44.9% | 43.3% | D+1.7 | R+0.7 |
| 1992 | 43.5% | 41.1% | D+2.4 | D+18.0 |
| 1988 | 41.3% | 56.9% | R+15.6 | D+10.2 |
| 1984 | 36.5% | 62.3% | R+25.8 | R+27.6 |
| 1980 | 48.9% | 47.1% | D+1.8 | R+17.4 |
| 1976 | 57.4% | 38.2% | D+19.2 | D+47.0 |
| 1972 | 34.5% | 62.3% | R+27.8 | R+29.3 |
| 1968 | 30.7% | 29.2% | D+1.5 | R+26.1 |
| 1964 | 63.3% | 35.7% | D+27.6 | D+17.2 |
| 1960 | 54.6% | 44.2% | D+10.4 | D+17.5 |
| 1956 | 45.6% | 52.6% | R+7.1 | R+8.0 |
| 1952 | 50.2% | 49.3% | D+1.0 | R+15.6 |
| 1948 | 46.4% | 29.8% | D+16.5 | — |
What defines Martinsville, VA?
It has a working-class electorate (17% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Martinsville, VA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry | 50K | R+32.8 | 8,457 | 16,800 | 25,413 | 81.8% |
| Martinsville City | 14K | D+22.6 | 3,435 | 2,155 | 5,658 | 18.2% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.7% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Martinsville, VA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 26.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 7.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(2) | 1.0% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -74.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 73.5% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 10.5% | — | — | |
| 6.3% | 9.1% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 3.8% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 3.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 30.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Martinsville, VA metro area? 63,638 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Martinsville, VA
How competitive is Martinsville, VA?
Do voters in Martinsville, VA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+22.7 | R+14.0 | 8.7pp |