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Grand Forks, ND-MN

Grand Forks, ND-MN

Latest: 2024↓ R+4.8 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 104K residents — 2 counties

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  • POPULATION

    104K

  • COUNTIES

    2

  • PRES MARGIN

    R+23.2

    2024

  • TURNOUT

    62.7%

  • MEDIAN INCOME

    $70K

Place Story

What defines Grand Forks, ND-MN

Methodology

Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Grand Forks, ND-MN

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Grand Forks73K
R+18.0
12,46918,12331,41167.1%
Polk31K
R+33.7
4,96710,16215,41932.9%
2 countiesTotal votes: 46,830
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Grand Forks, ND-MN's political evolution with the Historian
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Grand Forks, ND-MNCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 82.2%Hispanic 5.8%Multiracial 5.0%Black 3.3%Asian 2.2%Native American 1.5%
GroupGrand Forks, ND-MNNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
82.2%57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)
5.8%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
5.0%4.0%
▶Black / African American(12)
3.3%12.2%
▶Asian(6)
2.2%6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)
1.5%0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)
0.8%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
50.3%(52.2K people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +15.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Mainline Protestant
21.1%41.9%——
Catholic
18.2%36.2%——
Evangelical Protestant
8.0%15.9%——
Other
2.8%5.5%——
LDS (Mormon)
1.2%2.3%——
Black Protestant
0.2%0.5%——
Non-religiousPopulation
49.7%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.
Explore Mainline Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Grand Forks, ND-MN metro area? 103,628 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Grand Forks, ND-MN vs National104K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
104K
local
104KNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.03%
local
0.03%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
72.1%
local
72.1%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$69,500
local
$69,500National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
12.8%
local
12.8%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
35.0%
local
35.0%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
57.3%
local
57.3%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
33.5 yrs
local
33.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
23.4%
local
23.4%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
15.7%
local
15.7%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
5.4%
local
5.4%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
7.4%
local
7.4%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
92.6%
local
92.6%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Grand Forks, ND-MN

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
62.7%
vs Previous
+0.4pp
Voting-Age Pop
74,694
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Grand Forks, ND-MN?

Safe RAvg margin: R+21.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+4.9
2012
R+4.2
2016
R+21.6
2020
R+18.3
2024
R+23.2
Elasticity
28.1pp
margin range
Party Flips
3
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+12.5
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Grand Forks, ND-MN split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
Senate vs GovernorR+18.5R+28.910.4pp
President vs GovernorR+23.2R+28.95.7pp
President vs SenateR+23.2R+18.54.7pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 25.1pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Grand Forks, ND-MN sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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