Sumter, SC
Competitive — shifted 8.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 105K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 43.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 4.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 46.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 30.6% | 57.1% |
| Black Protestant | 9.4% | 17.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.1% | 13.2% |
| Catholic | 4.1% | 7.7% |
| Other | 2.4% | 4.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 46.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+4.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+13.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+12.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+17.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+15.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+1.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+5.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+2.7 |
Sumter, SC is a metro area that has a population of 104,725. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+4.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.9% | 47.0% | D+4.9 | R+8.1 |
| 2020 | 56.0% | 42.9% | D+13.0 | D+1.0 |
| 2016 | 54.5% | 42.5% | D+12.0 | R+5.5 |
| 2012 | 58.3% | 40.7% | D+17.6 | D+2.1 |
| 2008 | 57.3% | 41.9% | D+15.4 | D+13.8 |
| 2004 | 50.5% | 48.8% | D+1.7 | D+6.7 |
| 2000 | 46.8% | 51.9% | R+5.1 | R+5.5 |
| 1996 | 48.0% | 47.6% | D+0.5 | D+3.2 |
| 1992 | 44.6% | 47.3% | R+2.7 | D+13.3 |
| 1988 | 41.7% | 57.7% | R+16.0 | R+1.2 |
| 1984 | 42.3% | 57.1% | R+14.8 | R+8.1 |
| 1980 | 45.7% | 52.5% | R+6.7 | R+12.4 |
| 1976 | 52.6% | 46.9% | D+5.7 | D+36.0 |
| 1972 | 34.5% | 64.8% | R+30.3 | R+34.3 |
| 1968 | 37.4% | 33.4% | D+4.0 | D+38.4 |
| 1964 | 32.8% | 67.2% | R+34.4 | R+6.5 |
| 1960 | 36.1% | 63.9% | R+27.8 | R+20.9 |
| 1956 | 15.5% | 22.5% | R+6.9 | R+34.7 |
| 1952 | 29.9% | 2.1% | D+27.8 | D+14.8 |
| 1948 | 17.4% | 4.4% | D+13.0 | — |
What defines Sumter, SC?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (56% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Sumter, SC
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumter | 105K | D+4.9 | 23,425 | 21,215 | 45,170 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 24% — 9pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
- Turnout decreased by 4.9 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | Sumter, SC | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Black / African American(8) | 46.0% | 12.2% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 43.6% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 4.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -53.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.6% | 57.1% | — | — | |
| 9.4% | 17.6% | — | — | |
| 7.1% | 13.2% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 4.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 46.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Sumter, SC metro area? 104,725 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Sumter, SC
How competitive is Sumter, SC?
Do voters in Sumter, SC split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+1.1 | D+5.7 | 4.6pp |