Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
Safe Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 303K residents — 3 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 77.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 6.9% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 9.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.8% | 46.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.2% | 28.8% |
| Catholic | 5.2% | 16.1% |
| Other | 2.4% | 7.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 3.4% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 68.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+30.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+27.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+34.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+19.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+13.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+28.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+21.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+10.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+11.4 |
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV is a metro area that has a population of 302,649. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+30.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.7% | 64.0% | R+30.3 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 35.3% | 62.5% | R+27.2 | D+7.2 |
| 2016 | 30.1% | 64.5% | R+34.4 | R+14.7 |
| 2012 | 38.9% | 58.6% | R+19.7 | R+6.0 |
| 2008 | 42.3% | 55.9% | R+13.6 | D+14.6 |
| 2004 | 35.4% | 63.7% | R+28.2 | R+6.9 |
| 2000 | 38.0% | 59.3% | R+21.3 | R+10.7 |
| 1996 | 39.4% | 50.0% | R+10.6 | D+0.9 |
| 1992 | 35.6% | 47.1% | R+11.4 | D+16.5 |
| 1988 | 35.7% | 63.6% | R+27.9 | D+6.9 |
| 1984 | 32.4% | 67.2% | R+34.8 | R+13.2 |
| 1980 | 36.8% | 58.3% | R+21.6 | R+12.1 |
| 1976 | 45.3% | 54.7% | R+9.5 | D+31.8 |
| 1972 | 28.7% | 70.0% | R+41.3 | R+25.4 |
| 1968 | 32.9% | 48.8% | R+15.9 | R+36.2 |
| 1964 | 60.1% | 39.9% | D+20.3 | D+29.5 |
| 1960 | 45.4% | 54.6% | R+9.2 | D+17.2 |
| 1956 | 36.8% | 63.2% | R+26.4 | R+11.0 |
| 1952 | 42.2% | 57.6% | R+15.4 | R+11.3 |
| 1948 | 47.7% | 51.8% | R+4.1 | — |
What defines Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV?
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 156K | R+22.9 | 27,260 | 44,054 | 73,332 | 52.9% |
| Berkeley | 130K | R+35.8 | 17,500 | 37,580 | 56,102 | 40.5% |
| Morgan | 17K | R+55.4 | 1,947 | 7,009 | 9,134 | 6.6% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 30.3% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.8 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 77.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 9.1% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 6.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -34.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.8% | 46.2% | — | — | |
| 9.2% | 28.8% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 16.1% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 7.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 3.4% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 1.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 68.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV metro area? 302,649 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
How competitive is Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV?
Do voters in Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+30.3 | R+36.4 | 6.1pp |
| President vs Governor | R+30.3 | R+36.2 | 6.0pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+36.4 | R+36.2 | 0.1pp |