How did Hereford, TX vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Hereford, TX voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+51.7. Kamala D Harris received 1,019 votes and Donald Trump received 3,233 out of 4,286 total votes cast, a 7.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Hereford, TX's political history?

Hereford, TX has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 89.9 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Hereford, TX?

Hereford, TX has a population of 18,460 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 21.0% non-Hispanic white, 76.4% Hispanic, 2.6% Black. About 11% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $60,799.

Which places are most similar to Hereford, TX?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Hereford, TX are Liberal, KS, Odessa, TX, Hobbs, NM. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Hereford, TX

Latest: 2024↓ R+7.6 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 7.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 18K residents — 1 counties

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POPULATION
18K
COUNTIES
1
PRES MARGIN
R+51.7
2024
TURNOUT
34.4%
MEDIAN INCOME
$61K

Place Story

What defines Hereford, TX

Methodology

Reliably Republican since 1968
- Safe R
- 15 straight R wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+89.9 in 1932
- 1928 → 1932
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 76% Hispanic (+57pp vs national)
- 76% Hispanic (+57pp vs national)
- 21% non-Hispanic white (-36pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 29.1pp behind Governor
- Divergence 29.1pp in 2006
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 23pp over Catholics
- 32% Catholic / 55% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.

Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Constituent Geography

Counties in Hereford, TX

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Deaf Smith	18K	R+51.7	1,019	3,233	4,286	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 4,286

Historian Query

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Explore Hereford, TX's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Hereford, TX metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Hereford, TXCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 76.4%White (Non-Hispanic) 21.0%Black 2.6%Native American 0.6%

Group	Hereford, TX	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(6)	76.4%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11)	21.0%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(2)	2.6%	12.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.6%	0.9%
Asian	0.1%	6.0%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

63.1%(11.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -27.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	34.7%	55.1%	—	—
Catholic	20.0%	31.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.2%	6.6%	—	—
Other	4.2%	6.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.8%	2.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	36.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Hereford, TX metro area? 18,460 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Hereford, TX vs National18K residents

11% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 22pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+35 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

18K

local

18KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.5%

local

67.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$60,799

local

$60,799National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.7%

local

17.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.4%

local

11.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.8%

local

66.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

31.3 yrs

local

31.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.7%

local

16.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.2%

local

13.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.2%

local

17.2%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

54.9%

local

54.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

45.1%

local

45.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Hereford, TX

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

34.4%

vs Previous

-2.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

12,464

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Hereford, TX?

Safe RAvg margin: R+45.5 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+46.8

2012

R+41.8

2016

R+40.9

2020

R+44.0

2024

R+51.7

Elasticity

10.7pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+45.0

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Hereford, TX split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (71/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+51.7	R+49.4	2.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 6.6pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Hereford, TX sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Texas(State)

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