Plainview, TX
Safe Republican — shifted 7.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 37K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 32.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 60.8% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 4.3% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.4% | 55.2% |
| Catholic | 27.8% | 33.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.1% | 7.4% |
| Other | 2.1% | 2.5% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 17.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+59.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+52.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+49.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+47.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+44.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+58.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+51.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+26.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+30.7 |
Plainview, TX is a metro area that has a population of 37,347. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+59.2. Akashic Edge tracks 35 presidential elections here, dating back to 1888.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.9% | 79.1% | R+59.2 | R+7.2 |
| 2020 | 23.4% | 75.4% | R+52.0 | R+3.0 |
| 2016 | 23.4% | 72.5% | R+49.0 | R+1.3 |
| 2012 | 25.5% | 73.3% | R+47.7 | R+3.4 |
| 2008 | 27.6% | 71.8% | R+44.3 | D+14.1 |
| 2004 | 20.6% | 79.0% | R+58.4 | R+6.7 |
| 2000 | 23.7% | 75.4% | R+51.7 | R+25.5 |
| 1996 | 33.8% | 60.0% | R+26.2 | D+4.5 |
| 1992 | 28.0% | 58.7% | R+30.7 | R+6.5 |
| 1988 | 37.8% | 62.0% | R+24.2 | D+15.3 |
| 1984 | 30.1% | 69.6% | R+39.5 | R+10.5 |
| 1980 | 34.8% | 63.8% | R+29.0 | R+34.4 |
| 1976 | 52.5% | 47.1% | D+5.4 | D+56.3 |
| 1972 | 24.2% | 75.1% | R+50.9 | R+39.6 |
| 1968 | 33.0% | 44.3% | R+11.2 | R+36.9 |
| 1964 | 62.8% | 37.0% | D+25.7 | D+36.4 |
| 1960 | 44.3% | 55.0% | R+10.6 | R+14.0 |
| 1956 | 51.6% | 48.2% | D+3.4 | D+21.3 |
| 1952 | 40.9% | 58.9% | R+17.9 | R+78.4 |
| 1948 | 77.5% | 17.0% | D+60.4 | — |
What defines Plainview, TX?
Plainview, TX has been trending Republican — 12pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Plainview, TX
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 59.2% margin
- Shifted 11.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Plainview, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 60.8% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 32.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 4.3% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.5% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.4% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -25.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4% | 55.2% | — | — | |
| 27.8% | 33.8% | — | — | |
| 6.1% | 7.4% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 2.5% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 1.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 17.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Plainview, TX metro area? 37,347 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 18pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Plainview, TX
How competitive is Plainview, TX?
Do voters in Plainview, TX split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+59.2 | R+54.5 | 4.7pp |