Jefferson City, MO
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 150K residents — 4 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.3% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 6.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 23.8% | 46.9% |
| Catholic | 18.5% | 36.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.9% | 11.6% |
| Other | 1.7% | 3.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 1.8% |
| Non-religious | 49.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+43.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+42.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+43.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+36.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+27.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+34.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.8 |
Jefferson City, MO is a metro area that has a population of 150,437. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+43.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.6% | 71.0% | R+43.5 | R+0.8 |
| 2020 | 27.7% | 70.4% | R+42.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2016 | 25.6% | 68.9% | R+43.3 | R+6.8 |
| 2012 | 30.8% | 67.3% | R+36.5 | R+9.0 |
| 2008 | 35.5% | 63.0% | R+27.5 | D+7.4 |
| 2004 | 32.3% | 67.2% | R+34.9 | R+12.6 |
| 2000 | 37.9% | 60.2% | R+22.3 | R+10.5 |
| 1996 | 39.1% | 50.8% | R+11.8 | R+2.0 |
| 1992 | 34.6% | 44.4% | R+9.8 | D+20.2 |
| 1988 | 34.9% | 64.9% | R+29.9 | D+15.4 |
| 1984 | 27.3% | 72.7% | R+45.4 | R+23.5 |
| 1980 | 37.5% | 59.4% | R+21.9 | R+2.2 |
| 1976 | 39.8% | 59.4% | R+19.6 | D+29.4 |
| 1972 | 25.5% | 74.5% | R+49.1 | R+25.2 |
| 1968 | 33.1% | 56.9% | R+23.9 | R+25.9 |
| 1964 | 51.0% | 49.0% | D+2.0 | D+4.3 |
| 1960 | 48.8% | 51.2% | R+2.3 | D+2.2 |
| 1956 | 47.7% | 52.3% | R+4.5 | D+3.3 |
| 1952 | 46.0% | 53.9% | R+7.8 | R+22.9 |
| 1948 | 57.5% | 42.4% | D+15.1 | — |
What defines Jefferson City, MO?
Jefferson City, MO voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Bismarck, ND
Small-town rural republican 3
Hastings, NE
Small-town rural republican 3
Effingham, IL
Small-town rural republican 3
Dickinson, ND
Small-town rural republican 3
Billings, MT
Small-town rural republican 2
Kearney, NE
Small-town rural republican 3
Norfolk, NE
Small-town rural republican 3
Mitchell, SD
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Jefferson City, MO
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
Ask the Historian
Explore Jefferson City, MO's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 43.5% margin
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Jefferson City, MO | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 6.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.3% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
50.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -15.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.8% | 46.9% | — | — | |
| 18.5% | 36.3% | — | — | |
| 5.9% | 11.6% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 3.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.9% | 1.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Jefferson City, MO metro area? 150,437 residents across 4 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
150K
Share of U.S. population
0.04%
Voting-age population
72.0%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$73,946
Poverty rate
9.9%
College degree
31.1%
Homeownership
72.2%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.7 yrs
Age 18–29
15.2%
Age 65+
17.9%
Foreign born
2.1%
Non-English at home
3.7%
English only
96.3%
Turnout in Jefferson City, MO
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
70.8%
+1.2pp
108,264
1988–2024
How competitive is Jefferson City, MO?
Safe RAvg margin: R+43.2 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+27.5
2012
R+36.5
2016
R+43.3
2020
R+42.7
2024
R+43.5
16.0pp
0
R+38.7
Do voters in Jefferson City, MO split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (26/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+36.3 | R+50.2 | 13.8pp |
| President vs Senate | R+43.5 | R+36.3 | 7.1pp |
| President vs Governor | R+43.5 | R+50.2 | 6.7pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.5pp
Located In
Jefferson City, MO sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Unlock Metro Area Analytics
Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file