How did Kearney, NE vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Kearney, NE voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+46.7. Kamala D Harris received 7,122 votes and Donald Trump received 19,892 out of 27,363 total votes cast, a 1.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Kearney, NE's political history?

Kearney, NE has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 67.9 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Kearney, NE?

Kearney, NE has a population of 57,292 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 84.6% non-Hispanic white, 10.2% Hispanic. About 34% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $76,247.

Which places are most similar to Kearney, NE?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Kearney, NE are Minot, ND, Dickinson, ND, Hastings, NE. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Kearney, NE

Latest: 2024↓ R+1.3 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 57K residents — 2 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.6%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	10.2%
▶Black / African American(4)	0.8%
▶Asian(5)	1.5%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.5%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	2.3%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	18.2%	35.5%
Mainline Protestant	17.5%	34.1%
Evangelical Protestant	14.3%	27.8%
Other	1.2%	2.2%
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.6%
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.3%
Non-religious	48.7%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+46.7
2020	Trump+45.4
2016	Trump+48.3
2012	Romney+43.2
2008	McCain+38.2
2004	Bush+54.7
2000	Bush+49.3
1996	Dole+36.5
1992	Bush+33.9

View full election history →

Kearney, NE is a metro area that has a population of 57,292. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+46.7. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.

Kearney, NE Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	26.0%	72.7%	R+46.7	R+1.3
2020	25.8%	71.2%	R+45.4	D+2.8
2016	21.8%	70.0%	R+48.3	R+5.0
2012	27.1%	70.3%	R+43.2	R+5.0
2008	30.0%	68.3%	R+38.2	D+16.5
2004	21.9%	76.6%	R+54.7	R+5.4
2000	23.5%	72.8%	R+49.3	R+12.8
1996	26.8%	63.3%	R+36.5	R+2.6
1992	21.0%	54.9%	R+33.9	D+1.3
1988	31.9%	67.1%	R+35.2	D+21.3
1984	21.4%	77.9%	R+56.5	R+9.3
1980	21.9%	69.1%	R+47.2	R+19.5
1976	34.8%	62.4%	R+27.7	D+20.8
1972	25.8%	74.2%	R+48.4	R+11.4
1968	28.0%	65.0%	R+37.0	R+40.1
1964	51.5%	48.5%	D+3.0	D+33.5
1960	34.8%	65.2%	R+30.4	D+7.5
1956	31.0%	69.0%	R+38.0	D+14.1
1952	24.0%	76.0%	R+52.1	R+41.7
1948	44.8%	55.2%	R+10.4	—

Political Identity

What defines Kearney, NE?

Kearney, NE voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Minot, ND

Small-town rural republican 3

R+49.1

Similarity score94%

Dickinson, ND

Small-town rural republican 3

R+65.8

Similarity score93%

Hastings, NE

Small-town rural republican 3

R+47.5

Similarity score91%

Bismarck, ND

Small-town rural republican 3

R+45.8

Similarity score90%

McPherson, KS

Small-town rural republican 3

R+40.9

Similarity score89%

Findlay, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+38.4

Similarity score89%

Cedar City, UT

Small-town rural republican 3

R+56.4

Similarity score89%

Norfolk, NE

Small-town rural republican 3

R+60.9

Similarity score88%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Kearney, NE

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Buffalo	51K	R+44.9	6,386	17,064	23,759	86.8%
Kearney	7K	R+58.0	736	2,828	3,604	13.2%

2 countiesTotal votes: 27,363

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Kearney, NE's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Kearney, NE metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 46.7% margin

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Kearney, NECensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 84.6%Hispanic 10.2%Multiracial 2.3%Asian 1.5%Black 0.8%Native American 0.5%

Group	Kearney, NE	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.6%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	10.2%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.3%	4.0%
▶Asian(5)	1.5%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(4)	0.8%	12.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

51.3%(29.4K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	18.2%	35.5%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	17.5%	34.1%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	14.3%	27.8%	—	—
Other	1.2%	2.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.6%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	48.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Kearney, NE metro area? 57,292 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Kearney, NE vs National57K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

57K

local

57KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.02%

local

0.02%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.0%

local

73.0%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$76,247

local

$76,247National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.6%

local

9.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

34.4%

local

34.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.8%

local

67.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

35.7 yrs

local

35.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.0%

local

20.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.1%

local

17.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.5%

local

4.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.5%

local

8.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.5%

local

91.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Kearney, NE

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

65.4%

vs Previous

0.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

41,816

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Kearney, NE?

Safe RAvg margin: R+46.8 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+38.2

2012

R+43.2

2016

R+48.3

2020

R+45.4

2024

R+46.7

Elasticity

10.0pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+44.4

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Kearney, NE split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+46.7	R+52.6	5.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 23.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Kearney, NE sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Nebraska(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo