Minot, ND
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 76K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 81.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 6.6% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 4.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 1.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 17.1% | 37.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 16.4% | 36.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.4% | 18.5% |
| Other | 3.2% | 7.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.6% | 5.9% |
| Non-religious | 54.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+47.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+48.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+30.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+33.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+28.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+14.3 |
Minot, ND is a metro area that has a population of 76,484. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+49.1. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.2% | 73.4% | R+49.1 | R+2.1 |
| 2020 | 24.8% | 71.9% | R+47.1 | D+1.1 |
| 2016 | 20.6% | 68.8% | R+48.2 | R+17.7 |
| 2012 | 33.2% | 63.7% | R+30.5 | R+11.5 |
| 2008 | 39.4% | 58.4% | R+19.0 | D+14.3 |
| 2004 | 32.7% | 65.9% | R+33.2 | R+4.5 |
| 2000 | 33.4% | 62.1% | R+28.8 | R+21.1 |
| 1996 | 39.6% | 47.2% | R+7.6 | D+6.7 |
| 1992 | 31.1% | 45.4% | R+14.3 | R+1.9 |
| 1988 | 43.4% | 55.9% | R+12.4 | D+23.6 |
| 1984 | 31.5% | 67.6% | R+36.0 | D+6.7 |
| 1980 | 25.1% | 67.8% | R+42.7 | R+31.8 |
| 1976 | 43.5% | 54.4% | R+10.9 | D+21.7 |
| 1972 | 33.1% | 65.8% | R+32.6 | R+21.4 |
| 1968 | 41.6% | 52.8% | R+11.2 | R+34.8 |
| 1964 | 61.7% | 38.0% | D+23.7 | D+31.7 |
| 1960 | 45.9% | 54.0% | R+8.1 | D+12.5 |
| 1956 | 39.6% | 60.2% | R+20.6 | D+18.2 |
| 1952 | 30.1% | 69.0% | R+38.8 | R+32.6 |
| 1948 | 44.2% | 50.5% | R+6.3 | — |
What defines Minot, ND?
Minot, ND voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
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Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
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Williston, ND
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Norfolk, NE
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Weatherford, OK
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Warrensburg, MO
Educated rural competitive
Salina, KS
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Cedar City, UT
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Counties in Minot, ND
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Minot, ND's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 49.1% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 30.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Minot, ND | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 81.7% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 6.6% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 4.3% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 1.7% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
45.1%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +14.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.1% | 37.8% | — | — | |
| 16.4% | 36.4% | — | — | |
| 8.4% | 18.5% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 7.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.6% | 5.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 54.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Minot, ND metro area? 76,484 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
76K
Share of U.S. population
0.02%
Voting-age population
73.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$78,294
Poverty rate
8.7%
College degree
28.6%
Homeownership
62.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
34.6 yrs
Age 18–29
19.2%
Age 65+
14.7%
Foreign born
3.6%
Non-English at home
5.3%
English only
94.7%
Turnout in Minot, ND
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
57.9%
-0.1pp
56,139
1988–2024
How competitive is Minot, ND?
Safe RAvg margin: R+48.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+19.0
2012
R+30.5
2016
R+48.2
2020
R+47.1
2024
R+49.1
30.2pp
0
R+38.8
Do voters in Minot, ND split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+45.8 | R+53.6 | 7.9pp |
| President vs Governor | R+49.1 | R+53.6 | 4.5pp |
| President vs Senate | R+49.1 | R+45.8 | 3.4pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 25.9pp
Located In
Minot, ND sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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