
Kenosha, WI
Leans Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 168K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 15.2% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 6.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.2% | 60.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.5% | 21.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.7% | 10.4% |
| Other | 2.6% | 7.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 64.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+6.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+3.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+0.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+12.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+18.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+5.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+5.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+18.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+12.1 |
Kenosha, WI is a metro area that has a population of 168,438. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+6.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.1% | 52.4% | R+6.2 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 47.5% | 50.7% | R+3.1 | R+2.8 |
| 2016 | 46.9% | 47.2% | R+0.3 | R+12.5 |
| 2012 | 55.5% | 43.2% | D+12.2 | R+5.8 |
| 2008 | 58.2% | 40.1% | D+18.1 | D+12.1 |
| 2004 | 52.5% | 46.6% | D+5.9 | D+0.4 |
| 2000 | 50.9% | 45.3% | D+5.6 | R+12.4 |
| 1996 | 52.1% | 34.1% | D+18.0 | D+5.9 |
| 1992 | 44.2% | 32.1% | D+12.1 | R+4.1 |
| 1988 | 57.7% | 41.6% | D+16.2 | D+10.6 |
| 1984 | 52.5% | 46.9% | D+5.6 | D+1.6 |
| 1980 | 47.9% | 43.8% | D+4.0 | R+6.2 |
| 1976 | 53.8% | 43.6% | D+10.2 | D+20.5 |
| 1972 | 43.6% | 53.9% | R+10.3 | R+20.6 |
| 1968 | 50.8% | 40.5% | D+10.3 | R+24.5 |
| 1964 | 67.3% | 32.6% | D+34.7 | D+27.8 |
| 1960 | 53.4% | 46.4% | D+6.9 | D+18.0 |
| 1956 | 44.1% | 55.1% | R+11.0 | R+13.2 |
| 1952 | 50.9% | 48.7% | D+2.2 | R+14.0 |
| 1948 | 56.0% | 39.8% | D+16.2 | — |
What defines Kenosha, WI?
Kenosha, WI has been trending Republican — 18pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Kenosha, WI
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenosha | 168K | R+6.2 | 41,826 | 47,478 | 90,680 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 18.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Kenosha, WI | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.5% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 15.2% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 6.1% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +34.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.2% | 60.1% | — | — | |
| 7.5% | 21.3% | — | — | |
| 3.7% | 10.4% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 7.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 64.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Kenosha, WI metro area? 168,438 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Kenosha, WI
How competitive is Kenosha, WI?
Do voters in Kenosha, WI split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+6.2 | R+3.6 | 2.6pp |