Los Alamos, NM
Safe Democratic — shifted 3.5pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 19K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 18.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.3% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.3% | 38.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 12.9% | 23.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.6% | 19.3% |
| Other | 9.5% | 17.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 6.9% | 12.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 45.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+30.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+26.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+20.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+3.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+6.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+5.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+10.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.0 |
Los Alamos, NM is a metro area that has a population of 19,435. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+30.2. Akashic Edge tracks 19 presidential elections here, dating back to 1952.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 63.4% | 33.2% | D+30.2 | D+3.5 |
| 2020 | 61.4% | 34.8% | D+26.6 | D+6.4 |
| 2016 | 51.1% | 30.9% | D+20.2 | D+16.5 |
| 2012 | 48.7% | 45.0% | D+3.7 | R+3.2 |
| 2008 | 52.6% | 45.7% | D+6.9 | D+12.3 |
| 2004 | 46.5% | 51.9% | R+5.4 | D+9.0 |
| 2000 | 40.6% | 55.0% | R+14.4 | R+4.2 |
| 1996 | 40.1% | 50.3% | R+10.2 | R+6.3 |
| 1992 | 36.6% | 40.6% | R+4.0 | D+29.0 |
| 1988 | 32.3% | 65.2% | R+33.0 | D+7.7 |
| 1984 | 28.9% | 69.6% | R+40.7 | R+7.7 |
| 1980 | 25.2% | 58.2% | R+33.0 | R+3.1 |
| 1976 | 34.6% | 64.4% | R+29.8 | D+4.3 |
| 1972 | 31.9% | 66.1% | R+34.2 | R+19.9 |
| 1968 | 40.7% | 54.9% | R+14.3 | R+47.2 |
| 1964 | 66.2% | 33.3% | D+32.9 | D+31.0 |
| 1960 | 51.0% | 49.0% | D+1.9 | D+6.3 |
| 1956 | 47.8% | 52.2% | R+4.3 | R+5.7 |
| 1952 | 50.7% | 49.3% | D+1.4 | — |
What defines Los Alamos, NM?
Los Alamos, NM has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 26pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Los Alamos, NM
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Alamos | 19K | D+30.2 | 7,726 | 4,047 | 12,187 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 30.2% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
Who Lives Here
| Group | Los Alamos, NM | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.8% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 18.0% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.3% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.9% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +15.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.3% | 38.9% | — | — | |
| 12.9% | 23.6% | — | — | |
| 10.6% | 19.3% | — | — | |
| 9.5% | 17.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 6.9% | 12.6% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 0.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 45.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Los Alamos, NM metro area? 19,435 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
70% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 37pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+25 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Los Alamos, NM
How competitive is Los Alamos, NM?
Do voters in Los Alamos, NM split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+30.2 | D+28.0 | 2.2pp |