Heber, UT
Competitive — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 80K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 81.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 12.9% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 38.3% | 76.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 36.8% | 73.4% |
| Catholic | 9.5% | 18.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.7% | 3.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 0.7% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 49.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+2.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+0.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+0.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+21.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+20.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.6 |
Heber, UT is a metro area that has a population of 79,612. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+2.7. Akashic Edge tracks 33 presidential elections here, dating back to 1896.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.9% | 49.6% | R+2.7 | R+3.6 |
| 2020 | 49.1% | 48.2% | D+0.9 | D+0.5 |
| 2016 | 40.9% | 40.6% | D+0.4 | D+21.8 |
| 2012 | 37.7% | 59.1% | R+21.4 | R+21.6 |
| 2008 | 48.6% | 48.5% | D+0.1 | D+20.3 |
| 2004 | 38.7% | 58.9% | R+20.2 | D+1.8 |
| 2000 | 34.1% | 56.1% | R+22.0 | R+18.0 |
| 1996 | 40.9% | 44.9% | R+4.0 | D+2.6 |
| 1992 | 29.5% | 36.1% | R+6.6 | D+16.1 |
| 1988 | 38.0% | 60.6% | R+22.7 | D+22.8 |
| 1984 | 26.8% | 72.3% | R+45.4 | R+1.7 |
| 1980 | 24.1% | 67.8% | R+43.7 | R+16.5 |
| 1976 | 34.3% | 61.6% | R+27.2 | D+17.7 |
| 1972 | 25.2% | 70.1% | R+44.9 | R+17.8 |
| 1968 | 34.6% | 61.7% | R+27.1 | R+34.9 |
| 1964 | 53.9% | 46.1% | D+7.8 | D+22.8 |
| 1960 | 42.5% | 57.5% | R+15.0 | D+21.8 |
| 1956 | 31.6% | 68.4% | R+36.7 | R+12.8 |
| 1952 | 38.1% | 61.9% | R+23.9 | R+23.8 |
| 1948 | 49.6% | 49.7% | R+0.1 | — |
What defines Heber, UT?
Heber, UT flipped to Republicans in 2024 after voting the other way in 2020. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Heber, UT
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.1 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 22.3 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Heber, UT | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 81.9% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 12.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.3% | 0.2% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.3% | 12.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +13.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.3% | 76.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 36.8% | 73.4% | — | — |
| 9.5% | 18.9% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 3.5% | — | — | |
| 0.7% | 1.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Heber, UT metro area? 79,612 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
56% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 23pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+25 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Heber, UT
How competitive is Heber, UT?
Do voters in Heber, UT split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+2.7 | R+11.9 | 9.3pp |
| President vs Senate | R+2.7 | R+11.0 | 8.3pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+11.0 | R+11.9 | 0.9pp |