Mansfield, OH
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 125K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 2.3% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 7.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.0% | 59.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.9% | 15.8% |
| Catholic | 5.6% | 12.8% |
| Black Protestant | 3.6% | 8.1% |
| Other | 1.7% | 4.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 56.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+42.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+39.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+36.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+19.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+13.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+19.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.9 |
Mansfield, OH is a metro area that has a population of 125,099. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+42.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.4% | 70.8% | R+42.3 | R+2.6 |
| 2020 | 29.4% | 69.1% | R+39.7 | R+3.2 |
| 2016 | 28.7% | 65.2% | R+36.5 | R+17.2 |
| 2012 | 39.2% | 58.6% | R+19.3 | R+5.8 |
| 2008 | 42.0% | 55.6% | R+13.6 | D+6.2 |
| 2004 | 39.8% | 59.6% | R+19.8 | R+1.7 |
| 2000 | 39.0% | 57.1% | R+18.1 | R+12.6 |
| 1996 | 40.5% | 46.1% | R+5.6 | D+1.4 |
| 1992 | 34.6% | 41.5% | R+6.9 | D+13.9 |
| 1988 | 39.2% | 60.0% | R+20.8 | D+16.1 |
| 1984 | 31.1% | 68.1% | R+37.0 | R+15.4 |
| 1980 | 35.9% | 57.5% | R+21.6 | R+19.0 |
| 1976 | 46.8% | 49.4% | R+2.5 | D+36.1 |
| 1972 | 29.5% | 68.2% | R+38.7 | R+19.3 |
| 1968 | 34.2% | 53.6% | R+19.4 | R+33.1 |
| 1964 | 56.8% | 43.2% | D+13.7 | D+30.0 |
| 1960 | 41.8% | 58.2% | R+16.3 | D+15.2 |
| 1956 | 34.2% | 65.8% | R+31.6 | R+4.3 |
| 1952 | 36.4% | 63.6% | R+27.2 | R+23.4 |
| 1948 | 47.6% | 51.5% | R+3.8 | — |
What defines Mansfield, OH?
Mansfield, OH has been trending Republican — 23pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Lima, OH
Small-town rural republican 3
Farmington, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Marion, OH
Small-town rural republican 3
Mount Vernon, IL
Small-town rural republican 3
New Philadelphia-Dover, OH
Small-town rural republican 3
Greenville, OH
Small-town rural republican 3
Centralia, IL
Small-town rural republican 3
Zanesville, OH
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Mansfield, OH
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richland | 125K | R+42.3 | 16,591 | 41,298 | 58,362 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 58,362
Ask the Historian
Explore Mansfield, OH's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 42.3% margin
- Shifted 23.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Mansfield, OH | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 7.2% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.8% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 2.3% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
43.9%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -50.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.0% | 59.2% | — | — | |
| 6.9% | 15.8% | — | — | |
| 5.6% | 12.8% | — | — | |
| 3.6% | 8.1% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 4.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 56.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Mansfield, OH metro area? 125,099 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
125K
Share of U.S. population
0.04%
Voting-age population
72.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$59,509
Poverty rate
13.8%
College degree
17.9%
Homeownership
67.9%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
40.9 yrs
Age 18–29
14.8%
Age 65+
20.1%
Foreign born
1.6%
Non-English at home
4.7%
English only
95.3%
Turnout in Mansfield, OH
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
64.0%
-1.8pp
91,205
1988–2024
How competitive is Mansfield, OH?
Safe RAvg margin: R+39.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+13.6
2012
R+19.3
2016
R+36.5
2020
R+39.7
2024
R+42.3
28.8pp
0
R+30.3
Do voters in Mansfield, OH split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (49/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+42.3 | R+32.7 | 9.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 10.2pp
Located In
Mansfield, OH sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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