Midland, TX
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 180K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 46.0% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 7.1% |
▶Asian(5) | 2.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.6% | 54.6% |
| Catholic | 14.9% | 23.6% |
| Black Protestant | 7.3% | 11.6% |
| Other | 3.5% | 5.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.9% | 4.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.9% | 3.0% |
| Non-religious | 36.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+57.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+55.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+61.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+57.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+63.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+60.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+41.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+35.4 |
Midland, TX is a metro area that has a population of 180,019. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+61.0. Akashic Edge tracks 35 presidential elections here, dating back to 1888.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.0% | 80.1% | R+61.0 | R+3.9 |
| 2020 | 20.7% | 77.8% | R+57.1 | R+1.9 |
| 2016 | 20.2% | 75.4% | R+55.2 | D+6.4 |
| 2012 | 18.4% | 80.0% | R+61.6 | R+4.2 |
| 2008 | 20.8% | 78.2% | R+57.4 | D+6.5 |
| 2004 | 17.8% | 81.7% | R+63.9 | R+3.7 |
| 2000 | 19.1% | 79.2% | R+60.2 | R+18.7 |
| 1996 | 26.0% | 67.4% | R+41.4 | R+6.1 |
| 1992 | 22.6% | 58.0% | R+35.4 | D+19.6 |
| 1988 | 22.3% | 77.2% | R+54.9 | D+8.6 |
| 1984 | 18.1% | 81.6% | R+63.6 | R+9.3 |
| 1980 | 21.6% | 75.9% | R+54.3 | R+15.3 |
| 1976 | 30.0% | 69.0% | R+39.0 | D+21.7 |
| 1972 | 18.7% | 79.4% | R+60.7 | R+28.0 |
| 1968 | 21.0% | 53.7% | R+32.7 | R+20.0 |
| 1964 | 43.5% | 56.2% | R+12.6 | D+14.0 |
| 1960 | 35.4% | 62.0% | R+26.6 | D+5.8 |
| 1956 | 33.4% | 65.8% | R+32.4 | D+1.6 |
| 1952 | 33.0% | 67.0% | R+34.0 | R+64.4 |
| 1948 | 60.8% | 30.4% | D+30.4 | — |
What defines Midland, TX?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (58% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Midland, TX
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Midland, TX's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 61.0% margin
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Midland, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 46.0% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 7.1% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 2.3% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.6% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
63.4%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -35.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.6% | 54.6% | — | — | |
| 14.9% | 23.6% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 11.6% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 5.6% | — | — | |
| 2.9% | 4.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.9% | 3.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 36.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Midland, TX metro area? 180,019 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
180K
Share of U.S. population
0.05%
Voting-age population
69.8%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$92,898
Poverty rate
11.3%
College degree
30.7%
Homeownership
67.9%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
32.9 yrs
Age 18–29
16.1%
Age 65+
10.7%
Foreign born
12.7%
Non-English at home
31.6%
English only
68.4%
Turnout in Midland, TX
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
48.5%
-0.1pp
125,567
1988–2024
How competitive is Midland, TX?
Safe RAvg margin: R+57.8 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+57.4
2012
R+61.6
2016
R+55.2
2020
R+57.1
2024
R+61.0
6.4pp
0
R+58.5
Do voters in Midland, TX split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Straight-ticket (82/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+61.0 | R+57.5 | 3.5pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 4.6pp
Located In
Midland, TX sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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