Mobile, AL
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 413K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 3.5% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 35.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 42.0% | 57.2% |
| Black Protestant | 12.1% | 16.5% |
| Catholic | 10.7% | 14.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.9% | 8.0% |
| Other | 2.6% | 3.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 26.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+16.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+11.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+13.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+8.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+18.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+9.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+12.5 |
Mobile, AL is a metro area that has a population of 412,590. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+16.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.1% | 57.5% | R+16.4 | R+4.5 |
| 2020 | 43.4% | 55.3% | R+11.9 | D+1.6 |
| 2016 | 42.3% | 55.8% | R+13.4 | R+4.2 |
| 2012 | 45.0% | 54.2% | R+9.2 | R+0.5 |
| 2008 | 45.3% | 54.0% | R+8.7 | D+9.3 |
| 2004 | 40.7% | 58.7% | R+18.0 | R+4.1 |
| 2000 | 42.0% | 55.9% | R+14.0 | R+4.7 |
| 1996 | 42.1% | 51.3% | R+9.2 | D+3.3 |
| 1992 | 38.2% | 50.7% | R+12.5 | D+10.0 |
| 1988 | 38.4% | 60.9% | R+22.5 | D+4.0 |
| 1984 | 36.1% | 62.6% | R+26.5 | R+8.2 |
| 1980 | 39.5% | 57.7% | R+18.2 | R+14.9 |
| 1976 | 47.5% | 50.8% | R+3.4 | D+45.6 |
| 1972 | 24.2% | 73.1% | R+49.0 | R+104.7 |
| 1968 | 66.9% | 11.2% | D+55.7 | D+97.1 |
| 1964 | 29.3% | 70.7% | R+41.4 | R+51.0 |
| 1960 | 53.5% | 44.0% | D+9.5 | D+19.7 |
| 1956 | 42.7% | 52.9% | R+10.2 | R+11.3 |
| 1952 | 50.4% | 49.3% | D+1.1 | R+32.0 |
| 1948 | 44.0% | 10.9% | D+33.1 | — |
What defines Mobile, AL?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (45% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Mobile, AL
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile | 413K | R+16.4 | 72,055 | 100,759 | 175,164 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 175,164
Ask the Historian
Explore Mobile, AL's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 4.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Mobile, AL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.8% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 35.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 3.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
73.4%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -47.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 57.2% | — | — | |
| 12.1% | 16.5% | — | — | |
| 10.7% | 14.6% | — | — | |
| 5.9% | 8.0% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 3.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.5% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 26.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Mobile, AL metro area? 412,590 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
413K
Share of U.S. population
0.12%
Voting-age population
74.8%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$58,880
Poverty rate
16.2%
College degree
26.0%
Homeownership
66.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
38.5 yrs
Age 18–29
15.5%
Age 65+
17.3%
Foreign born
3.4%
Non-English at home
4.8%
English only
95.2%
Turnout in Mobile, AL
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
56.7%
-2.6pp
308,676
1988–2024
How competitive is Mobile, AL?
Likely RAvg margin: R+13.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+8.7
2012
R+9.2
2016
R+13.4
2020
R+11.9
2024
R+16.4
7.6pp
0
R+11.9
Do voters in Mobile, AL split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (10/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+22.5 | R+23.0 | 0.5pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 15.8pp
Located In
Mobile, AL sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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