Monroe, MI
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 156K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 4.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 2.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.4% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 23.1% | 50.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.5% | 34.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.8% | 10.6% |
| Other | 1.1% | 2.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 54.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+27.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+22.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+22.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+1.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+4.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+1.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+4.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.0 |
Monroe, MI is a metro area that has a population of 155,505. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+27.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.7% | 62.8% | R+27.1 | R+4.5 |
| 2020 | 37.8% | 60.5% | R+22.6 | R+0.7 |
| 2016 | 36.0% | 57.9% | R+22.0 | R+22.9 |
| 2012 | 49.7% | 48.7% | D+1.0 | R+3.4 |
| 2008 | 51.1% | 46.8% | D+4.3 | D+6.2 |
| 2004 | 48.7% | 50.5% | R+1.9 | R+6.1 |
| 2000 | 51.1% | 46.8% | D+4.2 | R+7.9 |
| 1996 | 49.6% | 37.5% | D+12.2 | D+4.2 |
| 1992 | 42.3% | 34.3% | D+8.0 | D+17.0 |
| 1988 | 45.2% | 54.2% | R+9.0 | D+10.9 |
| 1984 | 39.8% | 59.7% | R+19.9 | R+9.8 |
| 1980 | 41.2% | 51.3% | R+10.1 | R+15.9 |
| 1976 | 52.2% | 46.4% | D+5.9 | D+18.9 |
| 1972 | 41.7% | 54.8% | R+13.0 | R+21.2 |
| 1968 | 47.8% | 39.6% | D+8.2 | R+31.3 |
| 1964 | 69.6% | 30.2% | D+39.4 | D+36.6 |
| 1960 | 51.2% | 48.4% | D+2.8 | D+15.9 |
| 1956 | 43.3% | 56.4% | R+13.1 | D+1.5 |
| 1952 | 42.4% | 57.1% | R+14.6 | R+11.7 |
| 1948 | 47.8% | 50.7% | R+2.9 | — |
What defines Monroe, MI?
Monroe, MI has been trending Republican — 28pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
Constituent Counties
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Manitowoc, WI
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Counties in Monroe, MI
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monroe | 156K | R+27.1 | 32,622 | 57,405 | 91,356 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 91,356
Ask the Historian
Explore Monroe, MI's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 27.1% margin
- The 2012 election was decided by just 1.0 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Monroe, MI | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.5% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.4% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 4.4% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 2.2% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
45.4%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +12.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.1% | 50.8% | — | — | |
| 15.5% | 34.1% | — | — | |
| 4.8% | 10.6% | — | — | |
| 1.1% | 2.5% | — | — | |
| 0.7% | 1.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 54.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Monroe, MI metro area? 155,505 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
156K
Share of U.S. population
0.05%
Voting-age population
78.2%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$77,335
Poverty rate
10.5%
College degree
23.3%
Homeownership
81.7%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
42.8 yrs
Age 18–29
13.4%
Age 65+
19.9%
Foreign born
2.3%
Non-English at home
3.5%
English only
96.5%
Turnout in Monroe, MI
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
75.1%
+3.4pp
121,615
1988–2024
How competitive is Monroe, MI?
Safe RAvg margin: R+23.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+4.3
2012
D+1.0
2016
R+22.0
2020
R+22.6
2024
R+27.1
31.5pp
3
R+13.3
Do voters in Monroe, MI split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (46/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+27.1 | R+24.3 | 2.8pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 10.7pp
Located In
Monroe, MI sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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