Muncie, IN
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 112K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 3.3% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 5.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.5% | 50.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.0% | 19.4% |
| Catholic | 4.5% | 14.4% |
| Black Protestant | 2.8% | 9.0% |
| Other | 2.2% | 7.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 4.0% |
| Non-religious | 69.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+15.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+13.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+13.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+3.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+14.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+13.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.8 |
Muncie, IN is a metro area that has a population of 112,280. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+15.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.2% | 56.9% | R+15.8 | R+2.6 |
| 2020 | 42.5% | 55.7% | R+13.2 | D+0.3 |
| 2016 | 39.9% | 53.3% | R+13.5 | R+16.6 |
| 2012 | 50.3% | 47.1% | D+3.1 | R+11.8 |
| 2008 | 56.8% | 41.9% | D+14.9 | D+28.8 |
| 2004 | 42.6% | 56.5% | R+13.8 | R+11.0 |
| 2000 | 47.7% | 50.5% | R+2.8 | R+7.8 |
| 1996 | 45.4% | 40.4% | D+5.0 | D+6.8 |
| 1992 | 38.6% | 40.4% | R+1.8 | D+12.3 |
| 1988 | 42.7% | 56.8% | R+14.1 | D+6.4 |
| 1984 | 39.4% | 60.0% | R+20.5 | R+6.4 |
| 1980 | 39.7% | 53.8% | R+14.1 | R+11.7 |
| 1976 | 48.3% | 50.7% | R+2.4 | D+26.3 |
| 1972 | 35.5% | 64.2% | R+28.7 | R+20.6 |
| 1968 | 39.4% | 47.6% | R+8.1 | R+25.5 |
| 1964 | 58.5% | 41.1% | D+17.4 | D+23.2 |
| 1960 | 46.9% | 52.7% | R+5.8 | D+2.8 |
| 1956 | 45.4% | 54.1% | R+8.7 | D+4.0 |
| 1952 | 43.0% | 55.7% | R+12.7 | R+16.9 |
| 1948 | 50.9% | 46.7% | D+4.2 | — |
What defines Muncie, IN?
Muncie, IN has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (2D, 4R) — a genuine swing geography.
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Counties in Muncie, IN
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | 112K | R+15.8 | 18,848 | 26,067 | 45,784 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 45,784
Ask the Historian
Explore Muncie, IN's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 30.7 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Closest recent contest: 2012 at just 3.1 points
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Muncie, IN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 5.3% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 3.3% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.7% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
31.0%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -40.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5% | 50.1% | — | — | |
| 6.0% | 19.4% | — | — | |
| 4.5% | 14.4% | — | — | |
| 2.8% | 9.0% | — | — | |
| 2.2% | 7.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 4.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 69.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Muncie, IN metro area? 112,280 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
112K
Share of U.S. population
0.03%
Voting-age population
74.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$58,127
Poverty rate
19.6%
College degree
26.2%
Homeownership
66.5%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
35.8 yrs
Age 18–29
25.3%
Age 65+
17.6%
Foreign born
2.5%
Non-English at home
4.0%
English only
96.0%
Turnout in Muncie, IN
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
54.4%
-2.9pp
84,100
1988–2024
How competitive is Muncie, IN?
Likely RAvg margin: R+14.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+14.9
2012
D+3.1
2016
R+13.5
2020
R+13.2
2024
R+15.8
30.7pp
3
R+4.9
Do voters in Muncie, IN split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+16.5 | R+4.2 | 12.3pp |
| President vs Governor | R+15.8 | R+4.2 | 11.6pp |
| President vs Senate | R+15.8 | R+16.5 | 0.8pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 20.4pp
Located In
Muncie, IN sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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