Port Lavaca, TX
Safe Republican — shifted 7.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 20K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 40.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 49.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 2.6% |
▶Asian(4) | 4.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.6% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 30.4% | 42.6% |
| Catholic | 26.9% | 37.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.8% | 9.6% |
| Other | 6.6% | 9.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.7% | 2.3% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 28.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+52.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+36.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+26.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+20.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+25.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.3 |
Port Lavaca, TX is a metro area that has a population of 19,868. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+52.2. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.7% | 75.8% | R+52.2 | R+7.7 |
| 2020 | 27.3% | 71.8% | R+44.5 | R+8.3 |
| 2016 | 30.4% | 66.5% | R+36.1 | R+10.1 |
| 2012 | 36.3% | 62.3% | R+26.1 | R+6.1 |
| 2008 | 39.7% | 59.7% | R+20.0 | D+5.8 |
| 2004 | 37.0% | 62.8% | R+25.8 | R+11.2 |
| 2000 | 42.1% | 56.7% | R+14.6 | R+13.3 |
| 1996 | 45.0% | 46.3% | R+1.3 | 0.0 |
| 1992 | 37.6% | 38.9% | R+1.3 | R+3.3 |
| 1988 | 50.8% | 48.8% | D+2.0 | D+28.3 |
| 1984 | 36.7% | 63.0% | R+26.3 | R+22.0 |
| 1980 | 46.3% | 50.6% | R+4.2 | R+25.1 |
| 1976 | 60.1% | 39.2% | D+20.9 | D+51.0 |
| 1972 | 34.8% | 64.9% | R+30.1 | R+47.7 |
| 1968 | 48.8% | 31.3% | D+17.6 | R+35.8 |
| 1964 | 76.6% | 23.3% | D+53.4 | D+43.3 |
| 1960 | 54.6% | 44.5% | D+10.1 | D+38.3 |
| 1956 | 35.7% | 63.9% | R+28.2 | R+1.6 |
| 1952 | 36.6% | 63.3% | R+26.7 | R+50.3 |
| 1948 | 57.2% | 33.6% | D+23.6 | — |
What defines Port Lavaca, TX?
Port Lavaca, TX has been trending Republican — 26pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (59% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Port Lavaca, TX
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calhoun | 20K | R+52.2 | 1,853 | 5,939 | 7,832 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 52.2% margin
- Shifted 26.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Port Lavaca, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 49.4% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 40.8% | 57.4% |
▶Asian(4) | 4.1% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 2.6% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -9.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.4% | 42.6% | — | — | |
| 26.9% | 37.8% | — | — | |
| 6.8% | 9.6% | — | — | |
| 6.6% | 9.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.7% | 2.3% | — | — |
| 0.5% | 0.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 28.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Port Lavaca, TX metro area? 19,868 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Port Lavaca, TX
How competitive is Port Lavaca, TX?
Do voters in Port Lavaca, TX split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+52.2 | R+46.2 | 6.0pp |