El Campo, TX
Safe Republican — shifted 8.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 42K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 43.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 42.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 11.4% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 35.7% | 48.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.1% | 35.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.6% | 7.7% |
| Black Protestant | 3.4% | 4.7% |
| Other | 2.1% | 2.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 27.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+51.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+43.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+40.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+39.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+31.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+32.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+26.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+8.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.7 |
El Campo, TX is a metro area that has a population of 41,794. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+51.8. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.8% | 75.6% | R+51.8 | R+8.7 |
| 2020 | 28.0% | 71.2% | R+43.1 | R+3.0 |
| 2016 | 28.8% | 68.9% | R+40.1 | R+1.0 |
| 2012 | 30.1% | 69.2% | R+39.1 | R+8.0 |
| 2008 | 34.2% | 65.4% | R+31.2 | D+1.5 |
| 2004 | 33.5% | 66.2% | R+32.7 | R+5.7 |
| 2000 | 36.0% | 63.0% | R+26.9 | R+18.9 |
| 1996 | 42.3% | 50.4% | R+8.1 | R+1.3 |
| 1992 | 36.3% | 43.0% | R+6.7 | D+1.3 |
| 1988 | 45.7% | 53.7% | R+8.0 | D+17.2 |
| 1984 | 37.3% | 62.5% | R+25.2 | R+13.0 |
| 1980 | 43.0% | 55.2% | R+12.2 | R+23.8 |
| 1976 | 55.6% | 44.0% | D+11.6 | D+40.2 |
| 1972 | 35.7% | 64.3% | R+28.6 | R+33.9 |
| 1968 | 43.2% | 37.9% | D+5.3 | R+33.0 |
| 1964 | 69.1% | 30.8% | D+38.3 | D+19.2 |
| 1960 | 59.2% | 40.0% | D+19.1 | D+34.7 |
| 1956 | 41.9% | 57.5% | R+15.5 | R+2.5 |
| 1952 | 43.4% | 56.5% | R+13.1 | R+44.2 |
| 1948 | 60.0% | 28.9% | D+31.1 | — |
What defines El Campo, TX?
El Campo, TX has been trending Republican — 13pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (57% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in El Campo, TX
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wharton | 42K | R+51.8 | 3,910 | 12,439 | 16,453 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 51.8% margin
- Shifted 12.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | El Campo, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 43.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 42.0% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 11.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +8.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.7% | 48.9% | — | — | |
| 26.1% | 35.8% | — | — | |
| 5.6% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 3.4% | 4.7% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 2.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 27.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the El Campo, TX metro area? 41,794 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in El Campo, TX
How competitive is El Campo, TX?
Do voters in El Campo, TX split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+51.8 | R+47.6 | 4.3pp |