Roanoke, VA
Safe Republican — 315K residents — 6 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 75.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 5.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 12.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.3% | 58.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.5% | 19.1% |
| Catholic | 6.5% | 11.9% |
| Other | 3.5% | 6.4% |
| Black Protestant | 2.0% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 44.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+18.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+16.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+20.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+14.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+10.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+20.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.9 |
Roanoke, VA is a metro area that has a population of 314,986. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+18.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.1% | 58.7% | R+18.6 | R+2.1 |
| 2020 | 40.8% | 57.3% | R+16.5 | D+4.3 |
| 2016 | 36.9% | 57.7% | R+20.8 | R+6.3 |
| 2012 | 41.6% | 56.1% | R+14.5 | R+4.1 |
| 2008 | 44.2% | 54.6% | R+10.4 | D+10.4 |
| 2004 | 39.2% | 59.9% | R+20.8 | R+6.7 |
| 2000 | 41.8% | 55.8% | R+14.1 | R+11.5 |
| 1996 | 44.0% | 46.6% | R+2.6 | D+1.2 |
| 1992 | 41.3% | 45.2% | R+3.9 | D+8.9 |
| 1988 | 43.2% | 56.0% | R+12.7 | D+9.6 |
| 1984 | 38.5% | 60.9% | R+22.4 | R+19.6 |
| 1980 | 46.2% | 49.0% | R+2.8 | R+13.6 |
| 1976 | 54.7% | 43.9% | D+10.8 | D+53.8 |
| 1972 | 27.4% | 70.4% | R+43.0 | R+15.9 |
| 1968 | 25.1% | 52.2% | R+27.1 | R+30.4 |
| 1964 | 51.6% | 48.3% | D+3.3 | D+25.0 |
| 1960 | 39.0% | 60.7% | R+21.7 | D+13.4 |
| 1956 | 31.1% | 66.2% | R+35.1 | R+6.6 |
| 1952 | 35.6% | 64.2% | R+28.5 | R+20.1 |
| 1948 | 41.1% | 49.5% | R+8.4 | — |
What defines Roanoke, VA?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Roanoke, VA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roanoke City | 98K | D+23.6 | 25,737 | 15,787 | 42,128 | 25.1% |
| Roanoke | 97K | R+22.5 | 21,693 | 34,453 | 56,789 | 33.8% |
| Franklin | 55K | R+45.3 | 8,321 | 22,319 | 30,912 | 18.4% |
| Botetourt | 34K | R+45.1 | 5,915 | 15,796 | 21,893 | 13.0% |
| Salem City | 26K | R+19.3 | 5,237 | 7,769 | 13,148 | 7.8% |
| Craig | 5K | R+64.7 | 542 | 2,562 | 3,121 | 1.9% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Roanoke, VA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 75.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 12.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 5.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -51.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.3% | 58.6% | — | — | |
| 10.5% | 19.1% | — | — | |
| 6.5% | 11.9% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 6.4% | — | — | |
| 2.0% | 3.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 44.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Roanoke, VA metro area? 314,986 residents across 6 counties.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Roanoke, VA
How competitive is Roanoke, VA?
Do voters in Roanoke, VA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+18.6 | D+1.0 | 19.6pp |