How did Syracuse, NY vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Syracuse, NY voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+6.9. Kamala D Harris received 168,267 votes and Donald Trump received 146,489 out of 316,358 total votes cast, a 3.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Syracuse, NY's political history?

Syracuse, NY has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 45.4 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Syracuse, NY?

Syracuse, NY has a population of 656,410 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 78.5% non-Hispanic white, 5.1% Hispanic, 8.1% Black. About 35% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $75,453.

Which places are most similar to Syracuse, NY?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Syracuse, NY are Rochester, NY, Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY, Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Syracuse, NY

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.5 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 656K residents — 3 counties

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Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
D+15.4
Obama
2012
D+17.0
Obama
2016
D+4.8
Clinton
2020
D+10.4
Biden
2024
D+6.9
Harris

Who lives here

Full breakdown

White78.5%
Black8.1%
Hispanic5.1%

Economy & age

Population: 656K
Median age: 40.1; +1.0pp vs U.S.
Median income: $75K; −$9K vs U.S.
College+: 35%; −0.5pp vs U.S.

Faith & language

Full detail

Catholic30.3%
Evangelical7.3%

91% English only9% Non-English

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Rochester, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+8.5

Similarity score97%

Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+9.9

Similarity score96%

Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+5.1

Similarity score94%

Lansing-East Lansing, MI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+14.3

Similarity score94%

Burlington-South Burlington, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+41.5

Similarity score93%

Madison, WI

Educated rural democratic

D+43.0

Similarity score93%

Charlottesville, VA

Educated rural democratic

D+26.6

Similarity score93%

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

Educated rural competitive 2

D+23.3

Similarity score93%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Syracuse, NY

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Onondaga	471K	D+17.2	133,155	93,916	228,381	72.2%
Oswego	118K	R+24.1	20,483	33,548	54,163	17.1%
Madison	67K	R+13.0	14,629	19,025	33,814	10.7%

3 countiesTotal votes: 316,358

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Syracuse, NY's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Syracuse, NY metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Syracuse, NYCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 78.5%Black 8.1%Hispanic 5.1%Multiracial 4.6%Asian 3.2%Native American 0.4%

Group	Syracuse, NY	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	78.5%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(15)	8.1%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	5.1%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	4.6%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	3.2%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.2%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

48.8%(320.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +42.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	30.3%	62.1%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	7.3%	15.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.0%	12.2%	—	—
Other	3.6%	7.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.2%	2.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.5%	1.1%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.4%	0.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	51.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Syracuse, NY metro area? 656,410 residents across 3 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Syracuse, NY vs National656K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

656K

local

656KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.20%

local

0.20%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.3%

local

74.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$75,453

local

$75,453National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.9%

local

13.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

35.1%

local

35.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

68.4%

local

68.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.1 yrs

local

40.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.7%

local

16.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.7%

local

18.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.3%

local

6.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.3%

local

9.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

90.7%

local

90.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Syracuse, NY

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

62.5%

vs Previous

-1.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

190K · 37.5%

Citizen VAP

506,030

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Syracuse, NY?

Lean DAvg margin: D+7.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+15.4

2012

D+17.0

2016

D+4.8

2020

D+10.4

2024

D+6.9

Elasticity

12.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+10.9

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Syracuse, NY split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (28/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+6.9	D+10.8	3.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Syracuse, NY sits inside these higher-level geographies.

New York(State)

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