How did Vernal, UT vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Vernal, UT voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+73.1. Kamala D Harris received 1,952 votes and Donald Trump received 13,599 out of 15,929 total votes cast, a 2.7-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is Vernal, UT's political history?

Vernal, UT has 33 presidential elections on record, spanning 1896 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The largest single-election swing was 68.2 points in 1900.

What are the demographics of Vernal, UT?

Vernal, UT has a population of 37,056 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 80.0% non-Hispanic white, 8.8% Hispanic. About 17% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $73,746.

Which places are most similar to Vernal, UT?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Vernal, UT are Seymour, IN, Blackfoot, ID, Washington, IN. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Vernal, UT

Latest: 2024↑ D+2.7 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 37K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	80.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	8.8%
▶Black / African American(3)	0.5%
▶Asian(4)	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.1%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	4.0%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	5.7%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Other	42.4%	85.8%
LDS (Mormon)	41.4%	83.9%
Evangelical Protestant	3.6%	7.3%
Catholic	2.8%	5.6%
Mainline Protestant	0.6%	1.3%
Non-religious	50.6%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+73.1
2020	Trump+75.8
2016	Trump+68.5
2012	Romney+81.2
2008	McCain+68.5
2004	Bush+72.8
2000	Bush+63.7
1996	Dole+40.6
1992	Bush+27.4

View full election history →

Vernal, UT is a metro area that has a population of 37,056. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+73.1. Akashic Edge tracks 33 presidential elections here, dating back to 1896.

Vernal, UT Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	12.3%	85.4%	R+73.1	D+2.7
2020	10.9%	86.6%	R+75.8	R+7.2
2016	7.7%	76.3%	R+68.5	D+12.6
2012	8.6%	89.8%	R+81.2	R+12.7
2008	14.3%	82.8%	R+68.5	D+4.3
2004	12.7%	85.5%	R+72.8	R+9.2
2000	16.5%	80.2%	R+63.7	R+23.1
1996	23.0%	63.5%	R+40.6	R+13.2
1992	17.7%	45.1%	R+27.4	D+21.7
1988	24.9%	74.0%	R+49.1	D+22.7
1984	13.8%	85.6%	R+71.7	R+3.6
1980	14.3%	82.4%	R+68.1	R+22.1
1976	23.1%	69.2%	R+46.1	D+22.0
1972	12.2%	80.3%	R+68.1	R+27.2
1968	24.8%	65.6%	R+40.9	R+34.4
1964	46.8%	53.2%	R+6.4	D+28.8
1960	32.4%	67.6%	R+35.2	D+19.9
1956	22.4%	77.6%	R+55.2	R+12.8
1952	28.8%	71.2%	R+42.4	R+45.8
1948	51.4%	48.0%	D+3.5	—

Political Identity

What defines Vernal, UT?

It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Seymour, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+55.3

Similarity score91%

Blackfoot, ID

Small-town rural republican 3

R+59.9

Similarity score91%

Washington, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+64.3

Similarity score91%

Gillette, WY

Small-town rural republican 3

R+76.3

Similarity score91%

Cedar City, UT

Small-town rural republican 3

R+56.4

Similarity score90%

Bonham, TX

Small-town rural republican 3

R+67.3

Similarity score89%

Idaho Falls, ID

Small-town rural republican 3

R+52.1

Similarity score89%

DeRidder, LA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+71.3

Similarity score89%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Vernal, UT

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Uintah	37K	R+73.1	1,952	13,599	15,929	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 15,929

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Vernal, UT's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Vernal, UT metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 73.1% margin
College attainment is 17% — 16pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Vernal, UTCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 80.0%Hispanic 8.8%Multiracial 5.7%Native American 4.0%Asian 0.9%Black 0.5%

Group	Vernal, UT	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	80.0%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	8.8%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	5.7%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	4.0%	0.9%
▶Asian(4)	0.9%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(3)	0.5%	12.2%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.2%	0.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

49.4%(18.3K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -6.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Other	42.4%	85.8%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	41.4%	83.9%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	3.6%	7.3%	—	—
Catholic	2.8%	5.6%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	0.6%	1.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	50.6%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Vernal, UT metro area? 37,056 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Vernal, UT vs National37K residents

17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37K

local

37KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.9%

local

67.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$73,746

local

$73,746National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.8%

local

11.8%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.8%

local

16.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.5%

local

73.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.2 yrs

local

33.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.7%

local

14.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.9%

local

11.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.1%

local

3.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.1%

local

6.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

93.9%

local

93.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Vernal, UT

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

63.3%

vs Previous

+2.5pp

Voting-Age Pop

25,167

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Vernal, UT?

Safe RAvg margin: R+72.5 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+68.5

2012

R+81.2

2016

R+68.5

2020

R+75.8

2024

R+73.1

Elasticity

12.7pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+73.4

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Vernal, UT split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (33/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+73.5	R+56.6	17.0pp
President vs Governor	R+73.1	R+56.6	16.6pp
President vs Senate	R+73.1	R+73.5	0.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 12.6pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Vernal, UT sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Utah(State)

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