Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 805K residents — 15 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 59.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 10.1% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 23.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.5% | 50.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.8% | 19.1% |
| Catholic | 5.5% | 13.4% |
| Black Protestant | 4.6% | 11.4% |
| Other | 2.4% | 5.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 59.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+19.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+15.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+10.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+7.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+19.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+15.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.6 |
Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn is a media market that has a population of 805,431. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+19.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.8% | 59.2% | R+19.4 | R+4.7 |
| 2020 | 41.9% | 56.6% | R+14.7 | D+0.3 |
| 2016 | 40.9% | 55.9% | R+15.0 | R+4.5 |
| 2012 | 44.3% | 54.7% | R+10.4 | R+2.8 |
| 2008 | 45.9% | 53.5% | R+7.6 | D+11.8 |
| 2004 | 40.2% | 59.5% | R+19.4 | R+4.0 |
| 2000 | 42.0% | 57.4% | R+15.4 | R+10.4 |
| 1996 | 44.4% | 49.4% | R+5.0 | R+5.6 |
| 1992 | 43.4% | 42.7% | D+0.6 | D+12.3 |
| 1988 | 44.1% | 55.7% | R+11.6 | D+7.2 |
| 1984 | 40.5% | 59.3% | R+18.8 | R+21.3 |
| 1980 | 50.0% | 47.6% | D+2.4 | R+15.4 |
| 1976 | 58.6% | 40.8% | D+17.8 | D+63.0 |
| 1972 | 26.8% | 72.0% | R+45.1 | R+53.8 |
| 1968 | 32.0% | 23.4% | D+8.6 | R+21.7 |
| 1964 | 65.2% | 34.8% | D+30.3 | R+12.6 |
| 1960 | 71.5% | 28.5% | D+42.9 | R+6.3 |
| 1956 | 74.6% | 25.4% | D+49.2 | R+3.2 |
| 1952 | 76.2% | 23.8% | D+52.4 | R+18.8 |
| 1948 | 83.6% | 12.4% | D+71.3 | — |
What defines Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn?
Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onslow | 208K | R+35.8 | 25,684 | 54,960 | 81,681 | 20.4% |
| Pitt | 177K | D+6.0 | 45,595 | 40,403 | 87,130 | 21.7% |
| Craven | 103K | R+20.4 | 22,011 | 33,477 | 56,173 | 14.0% |
| Carteret | 69K | R+43.0 | 12,813 | 32,508 | 45,817 | 11.4% |
| Lenoir | 55K | R+6.8 | 12,700 | 14,564 | 27,503 | 6.9% |
| Duplin | 49K | R+28.9 | 8,057 | 14,677 | 22,898 | 5.7% |
| Beaufort | 44K | R+31.0 | 9,049 | 17,296 | 26,572 | 6.6% |
| Martin | 22K | R+10.3 | 5,360 | 6,601 | 12,040 | 3.0% |
| Greene | 20K | R+18.1 | 3,437 | 4,965 | 8,450 | 2.1% |
| Bertie | 17K | D+15.7 | 5,279 | 3,840 | 9,186 | 2.3% |
| Pamlico | 12K | R+32.0 | 2,676 | 5,229 | 7,976 | 2.0% |
| Washington | 11K | D+6.2 | 3,138 | 2,768 | 5,944 | 1.5% |
| Jones | 9K | R+25.7 | 2,007 | 3,409 | 5,463 | 1.4% |
| Hyde | 5K | R+22.1 | 931 | 1,465 | 2,421 | 0.6% |
| Tyrrell | 3K | R+21.5 | 680 | 1,057 | 1,757 | 0.4% |
15 countiesTotal votes: 401,011
Ask the Historian
Explore Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 4.7 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 59.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 23.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 10.1% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
40.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -41.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5% | 50.3% | — | — | |
| 7.8% | 19.1% | — | — | |
| 5.5% | 13.4% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 11.4% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 5.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 59.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn media market? 805,431 residents across 15 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
805K
Share of U.S. population
0.24%
Voting-age population
73.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$60,847
Poverty rate
16.1%
College degree
26.1%
Homeownership
64.1%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
37.4 yrs
Age 18–29
20.3%
Age 65+
17.9%
Foreign born
4.8%
Non-English at home
9.1%
English only
90.9%
Turnout in Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
67.9%
+2.3pp
590,977
1988–2024
How competitive is Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn?
Safe RAvg margin: R+16.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+7.6
2012
R+10.4
2016
R+15.0
2020
R+14.7
2024
R+19.4
11.8pp
0
R+13.4
Do voters in Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (40/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+19.4 | R+1.4 | 18.0pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.5pp
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