How did Montgomery-Selma vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Montgomery-Selma voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+7.8. Kamala D Harris received 126,479 votes and Donald Trump received 148,080 out of 277,560 total votes cast, a 5.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Montgomery-Selma's political history?

Montgomery-Selma has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 27 and Republicans 13 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 109.7 points in 1968.

What are the demographics of Montgomery-Selma?

Montgomery-Selma has a population of 631,990 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 47.5% non-Hispanic white, 3.5% Hispanic, 44.3% Black. About 26% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $57,608.

Which places are most similar to Montgomery-Selma?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Montgomery-Selma are Jackson, MS, Greenwood-Greenville, Macon. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Montgomery-Selma

Latest: 2024↓ R+5.6 vs 2020

Leans Republican — shifted 5.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 632K residents — 15 counties

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Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
R+1.1
McCain
2012
D+2.2
Obama
2016
R+2.9
Trump
2020
R+2.1
Trump
2024
R+7.8
Trump

Who lives here

Full breakdown

White47.5%
Black44.3%
Hispanic3.5%

Economy & age

Population: 632K
Median age: 39.2
Median income: $58K; −$26K vs U.S.
College+: 26%; −9.3pp vs U.S.

Faith & language

Full detail

Evangelical38.1%
Black Prot.11.7%

96% English only4% Non-English

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Columbus, GA (Opelika, AL)

Constituent Geography

Counties in Montgomery-Selma

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Montgomery	227K	D+30.6	57,946	30,477	89,798	32.4%
Elmore	90K	R+51.9	9,774	31,374	41,624	15.0%
Autauga	60K	R+46.1	7,439	20,484	28,281	10.2%
Tallapoosa	41K	R+49.5	4,975	14,884	20,023	7.2%
Covington	38K	R+72.3	2,314	14,677	17,095	6.2%
Dallas	37K	D+32.5	10,236	5,190	15,547	5.6%
Pike	33K	R+25.2	4,899	8,224	13,216	4.8%
Marengo	19K	R+3.8	4,631	4,995	9,682	3.5%
Macon	19K	D+56.2	6,084	1,682	7,834	2.8%
Butler	19K	R+22.6	3,251	5,172	8,480	3.1%
Crenshaw	13K	R+54.6	1,457	5,000	6,486	2.3%
Wilcox	10K	D+31.5	3,449	1,793	5,263	1.9%
Bullock	10K	D+45.8	2,983	1,101	4,111	1.5%
Lowndes	10K	D+37.3	3,867	1,758	5,655	2.0%
Perry	8K	D+42.7	3,174	1,269	4,465	1.6%

15 countiesTotal votes: 277,560

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Montgomery-Selma's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Montgomery-Selma media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Montgomery-SelmaCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 47.5%Black 44.3%Hispanic 3.5%Multiracial 2.9%Asian 1.7%

Group	Montgomery-Selma	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	47.5%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(11)	44.3%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	3.5%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.9%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.7%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

62.9%(397.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -61.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	38.1%	60.5%	—	—
Black Protestant	11.7%	18.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.0%	12.7%	—	—
Other	2.6%	4.1%	—	—
Catholic	2.5%	3.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	1.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	37.1%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Montgomery-Selma media market? 631,990 residents across 15 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Montgomery-Selma vs National632K residents

26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

632K

local

632KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.19%

local

0.19%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.9%

local

73.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$57,608

local

$57,608National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.2%

local

19.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

26.3%

local

26.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.0%

local

67.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.2 yrs

local

39.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.0%

local

16.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.1%

local

18.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.3%

local

3.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.5%

local

4.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.5%

local

95.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Montgomery-Selma

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

58.0%

vs Previous

-3.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

201K · 42.0%

Citizen VAP

478,625

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Montgomery-Selma?

Tilt RAvg margin: R+4.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+1.1

2012

D+2.2

2016

R+2.9

2020

R+2.1

2024

R+7.8

Elasticity

9.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+2.3

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Montgomery-Selma split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+14.4	R+16.6	2.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 19.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Montgomery-Selma sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Alabama(State)

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