Rochestr-Mason City-Austin
Leans Republican — 385K residents — 12 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 81.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 6.6% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 4.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 24.3% | 44.4% |
| Catholic | 14.4% | 26.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.3% | 24.3% |
| Other | 2.6% | 4.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 45.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+8.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+5.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+10.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+7.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+10.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+2.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.0 |
Rochestr-Mason City-Austin is a media market that has a population of 384,507. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+8.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.9% | 52.9% | R+8.0 | R+2.4 |
| 2020 | 46.1% | 51.7% | R+5.7 | D+4.4 |
| 2016 | 40.6% | 50.6% | R+10.0 | R+17.4 |
| 2012 | 52.5% | 45.1% | D+7.3 | R+3.0 |
| 2008 | 54.1% | 43.8% | D+10.3 | D+8.1 |
| 2004 | 50.5% | 48.3% | D+2.2 | R+0.3 |
| 2000 | 49.1% | 46.6% | D+2.6 | R+9.8 |
| 1996 | 49.8% | 37.5% | D+12.3 | D+7.3 |
| 1992 | 40.3% | 35.2% | D+5.0 | D+3.1 |
| 1988 | 50.5% | 48.6% | D+1.9 | D+9.8 |
| 1984 | 45.7% | 53.6% | R+7.9 | D+4.1 |
| 1980 | 39.7% | 51.6% | R+12.0 | R+9.4 |
| 1976 | 47.7% | 50.3% | R+2.5 | D+18.7 |
| 1972 | 38.5% | 59.7% | R+21.2 | R+12.9 |
| 1968 | 43.8% | 52.1% | R+8.3 | R+29.8 |
| 1964 | 60.7% | 39.2% | D+21.5 | D+36.1 |
| 1960 | 42.6% | 57.2% | R+14.6 | D+2.6 |
| 1956 | 41.3% | 58.5% | R+17.2 | D+11.8 |
| 1952 | 35.3% | 64.3% | R+29.0 | R+36.6 |
| 1948 | 52.9% | 45.4% | D+7.6 | — |
What defines Rochestr-Mason City-Austin?
Rochestr-Mason City-Austin has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Rochestr-Mason City-Austin
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olmsted | 164K | D+10.6 | 49,121 | 39,467 | 90,924 | 43.6% |
| Cerro Gordo | 43K | R+11.6 | 9,955 | 12,627 | 23,020 | 11.0% |
| Mower | 40K | R+10.5 | 8,312 | 10,297 | 18,969 | 9.1% |
| Freeborn | 31K | R+21.3 | 6,448 | 10,003 | 16,704 | 8.0% |
| Fillmore | 21K | R+25.4 | 4,491 | 7,638 | 12,385 | 5.9% |
| Dodge | 21K | R+31.9 | 4,108 | 8,095 | 12,484 | 6.0% |
| Floyd | 15K | R+25.6 | 2,782 | 4,744 | 7,650 | 3.7% |
| Hancock | 11K | R+47.4 | 1,523 | 4,336 | 5,939 | 2.8% |
| Winnebago | 11K | R+30.6 | 1,909 | 3,636 | 5,642 | 2.7% |
| Mitchell | 11K | R+31.1 | 1,943 | 3,736 | 5,771 | 2.8% |
| Howard | 9K | R+31.7 | 1,619 | 3,157 | 4,850 | 2.3% |
| Worth | 7K | R+28.1 | 1,508 | 2,715 | 4,287 | 2.1% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.3 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 81.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 6.6% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 4.2% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.0% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.3% | 44.4% | — | — | |
| 14.4% | 26.3% | — | — | |
| 13.3% | 24.3% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 4.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 45.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Rochestr-Mason City-Austin media market? 384,507 residents across 12 counties.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Rochestr-Mason City-Austin
How competitive is Rochestr-Mason City-Austin?
Do voters in Rochestr-Mason City-Austin split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+8.0 | D+10.7 | 18.8pp |