Anchorage
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 462K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 7.8% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 3.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 6.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 2.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 10.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.8% | 57.4% |
| Other | 7.3% | 20.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.8% | 13.3% |
| Catholic | 4.5% | 12.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.3% | 6.4% |
| Black Protestant | 0.7% | 2.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.5% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 63.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+16.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+20.0 |
Anchorage is a media market that has a population of 462,377. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+16.4. Akashic Edge tracks 3 presidential elections here, dating back to 2016.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.0% | 56.3% | R+16.4 | R+1.9 |
| 2020 | 41.0% | 55.5% | R+14.5 | D+5.5 |
| 2016 | 34.4% | 54.4% | R+20.0 | — |
What defines Anchorage?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Fairbanks
Rural Republican 2
Juneau
Educated rural competitive
Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers
Rural Republican 2
Colorado Springs-Pueblo
Small-town rural republican 3
Great Falls
Small-town rural republican
Tulsa
Small-town rural republican
Honolulu
Educated rural democratic
Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)
Small-town rural republican
Counties in Anchorage
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchorage Municipality | 289K | D+1.5 | 64,938 | 62,940 | 133,081 | 60.0% |
| Matanuska-Susitna Borough | 113K | R+48.3 | 13,411 | 40,215 | 55,473 | 25.0% |
| Kenai Peninsula Borough | 60K | R+34.4 | 10,354 | 21,838 | 33,367 | 15.0% |
3 countiesTotal votes: 221,921
Ask the Historian
Explore Anchorage's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Turnout decreased by 3.0 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Anchorage | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.5% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 10.5% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 7.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 6.7% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 3.5% | 12.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 2.1% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
36.2%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -49.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.8% | 57.4% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 20.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 4.8% | 13.3% | — | — |
| 4.5% | 12.4% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 6.4% | — | — | |
| 0.7% | 2.1% | — | — | |
| 0.5% | 1.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 63.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Anchorage media market? 462,377 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
462K
Share of U.S. population
0.14%
Voting-age population
73.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$97,942
Poverty rate
9.6%
College degree
34.0%
Homeownership
68.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
36.4 yrs
Age 18–29
16.3%
Age 65+
14.0%
Foreign born
8.0%
Non-English at home
13.0%
English only
87.0%
Turnout in Anchorage
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
65.2%
-3.0pp
340,272
2016–2024
How competitive is Anchorage?
Safe RAvg margin: R+17.0 (last 3 elections)
2016
R+20.0
2020
R+14.5
2024
R+16.4
5.5pp
0
R+17.0
Do voters in Anchorage split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+79.0 | R+31.9 | 47.1pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 47.1pp
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