Honolulu
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 6.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 1.4M residents — 5 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 20.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 9.9% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 1.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 36.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(7) | 10.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 20.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 18.7% | 46.0% |
| Other | 10.4% | 25.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.9% | 22.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.4% | 10.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.3% | 5.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 59.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+23.1 |
| 2020 | Biden+29.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+32.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+42.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+45.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+8.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+18.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+25.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.4 |
Honolulu is a media market that has a population of 1,445,235. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+23.1. Akashic Edge tracks 17 presidential elections here, dating back to 1960.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60.6% | 37.5% | D+23.1 | R+6.4 |
| 2020 | 63.7% | 34.3% | D+29.5 | R+2.7 |
| 2016 | 62.2% | 30.0% | D+32.2 | R+10.5 |
| 2012 | 70.5% | 27.9% | D+42.7 | R+2.5 |
| 2008 | 71.8% | 26.6% | D+45.2 | D+36.5 |
| 2004 | 54.0% | 45.3% | D+8.7 | R+9.6 |
| 2000 | 55.8% | 37.5% | D+18.3 | R+7.0 |
| 1996 | 56.9% | 31.6% | D+25.3 | D+13.9 |
| 1992 | 48.1% | 36.7% | D+11.4 | D+1.9 |
| 1988 | 54.3% | 44.8% | D+9.5 | D+20.8 |
| 1984 | 43.8% | 55.1% | R+11.3 | R+13.2 |
| 1980 | 44.8% | 42.9% | D+1.9 | R+0.6 |
| 1976 | 50.6% | 48.1% | D+2.5 | D+27.5 |
| 1972 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+25.0 | R+46.1 |
| 1968 | 59.8% | 38.7% | D+21.1 | R+36.4 |
| 1964 | 78.8% | 21.2% | D+57.5 | D+57.5 |
| 1960 | 50.0% | 50.0% | D+0.1 | — |
What defines Honolulu?
Honolulu has been trending Republican — 20pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
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Counties in Honolulu
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu | 1.0M | D+21.6 | 204,301 | 130,489 | 340,921 | 66.0% |
| Hawaii | 206K | D+28.3 | 52,163 | 28,748 | 82,823 | 16.0% |
| Maui | 165K | D+25.9 | 38,905 | 22,621 | 62,893 | 12.2% |
| Kauai | 74K | D+19.5 | 17,675 | 11,803 | 30,064 | 5.8% |
| Kalawao County | 67 | E | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
5 countiesTotal votes: 516,701
Ask the Historian
Explore Honolulu's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 23.1% margin
- Shifted 19.6 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Honolulu | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Asian(6) | 36.9% | 6.0% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 20.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 20.0% | 4.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(7) | 10.1% | 0.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 9.9% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 1.9% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
40.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +19.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.7% | 46.0% | — | — | |
| 10.4% | 25.6% | — | — | |
| 8.9% | 22.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 4.4% | 10.9% | — | — |
| 2.3% | 5.6% | — | — | |
| 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 59.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Honolulu media market? 1,445,235 residents across 5 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
1.4M
Share of U.S. population
0.43%
Voting-age population
76.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$100,614
Poverty rate
10.0%
College degree
36.2%
Homeownership
63.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
41.0 yrs
Age 18–29
14.5%
Age 65+
20.5%
Foreign born
17.9%
Non-English at home
24.7%
English only
75.3%
Turnout in Honolulu
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
46.7%
-5.2pp
1,107,586
1988–2024
How competitive is Honolulu?
Safe DAvg margin: D+28.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+45.2
2012
D+42.7
2016
D+32.2
2020
D+29.5
2024
D+23.1
22.1pp
0
D+34.5
Do voters in Honolulu split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+23.1 | D+32.7 | 9.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 27.2pp
Located In
Honolulu sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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