Amarillo
Safe Republican — 544K residents — 34 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 38.3% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 5.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 40.8% | 64.6% |
| Catholic | 13.3% | 21.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.3% | 8.4% |
| Other | 3.1% | 4.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 2.4% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 36.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+60.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+57.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+59.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+59.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+55.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+60.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+54.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+34.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+27.0 |
Amarillo is a media market that has a population of 543,790. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+60.3. Akashic Edge tracks 37 presidential elections here, dating back to 1880.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.3% | 79.6% | R+60.3 | R+2.7 |
| 2020 | 20.4% | 78.0% | R+57.7 | D+2.1 |
| 2016 | 17.7% | 77.5% | R+59.8 | D+0.1 |
| 2012 | 19.4% | 79.2% | R+59.8 | R+4.6 |
| 2008 | 22.0% | 77.1% | R+55.2 | D+4.8 |
| 2004 | 19.8% | 79.8% | R+60.0 | R+5.5 |
| 2000 | 22.0% | 76.5% | R+54.4 | R+20.1 |
| 1996 | 29.2% | 63.6% | R+34.4 | R+7.4 |
| 1992 | 28.0% | 54.9% | R+27.0 | D+9.6 |
| 1988 | 31.4% | 67.9% | R+36.6 | D+16.9 |
| 1984 | 23.0% | 76.5% | R+53.4 | R+16.4 |
| 1980 | 30.2% | 67.3% | R+37.1 | R+29.5 |
| 1976 | 45.7% | 53.3% | R+7.6 | D+49.5 |
| 1972 | 20.6% | 77.6% | R+57.0 | R+33.0 |
| 1968 | 28.1% | 52.2% | R+24.0 | R+27.4 |
| 1964 | 51.6% | 48.2% | D+3.4 | D+28.4 |
| 1960 | 37.4% | 62.4% | R+25.0 | R+15.9 |
| 1956 | 45.3% | 54.4% | R+9.1 | D+10.6 |
| 1952 | 40.1% | 59.8% | R+19.7 | R+67.2 |
| 1948 | 72.6% | 25.0% | D+47.5 | — |
What defines Amarillo?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Amarillo
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randall | 146K | R+60.4 | 12,935 | 53,314 | 66,901 | 34.3% |
| Potter | 116K | R+44.4 | 8,748 | 23,007 | 32,121 | 16.5% |
| Curry | 48K | R+42.6 | 4,230 | 10,714 | 15,223 | 7.8% |
| Moore | 21K | R+67.1 | 860 | 4,458 | 5,362 | 2.8% |
| Gray | 21K | R+77.1 | 845 | 6,691 | 7,580 | 3.9% |
| Texas | 21K | R+67.7 | 793 | 4,319 | 5,206 | 2.7% |
| Hutchinson | 20K | R+77.2 | 913 | 7,273 | 8,244 | 4.2% |
| Roosevelt | 19K | R+43.2 | 1,820 | 4,687 | 6,639 | 3.4% |
| Deaf Smith | 18K | R+51.7 | 1,019 | 3,233 | 4,286 | 2.2% |
| Ochiltree | 10K | R+81.5 | 269 | 2,723 | 3,010 | 1.5% |
| Parmer | 10K | R+70.1 | 368 | 2,123 | 2,504 | 1.3% |
| Quay | 9K | R+40.9 | 1,055 | 2,570 | 3,704 | 1.9% |
| Castro | 7K | R+58.1 | 418 | 1,594 | 2,023 | 1.0% |
| Dallam | 7K | R+78.3 | 152 | 1,285 | 1,447 | 0.7% |
| Swisher | 7K | R+63.4 | 403 | 1,840 | 2,265 | 1.2% |
| Childress | 7K | R+76.1 | 263 | 1,991 | 2,272 | 1.2% |
| Carson | 6K | R+81.1 | 290 | 2,866 | 3,177 | 1.6% |
| Hartley | 5K | R+83.3 | 163 | 1,843 | 2,016 | 1.0% |
| Hansford | 5K | R+84.8 | 146 | 1,842 | 1,999 | 1.0% |
| Beaver | 5K | R+83.8 | 158 | 1,938 | 2,124 | 1.1% |
| Wheeler | 5K | R+84.6 | 169 | 2,093 | 2,274 | 1.2% |
| Union | 4K | R+52.2 | 378 | 1,247 | 1,665 | 0.9% |
| Donley | 3K | R+78.2 | 174 | 1,512 | 1,712 | 0.9% |
| Hemphill | 3K | R+75.8 | 190 | 1,412 | 1,612 | 0.8% |
| Lipscomb | 3K | R+79.6 | 123 | 1,125 | 1,259 | 0.6% |
| Hall | 3K | R+73.4 | 149 | 992 | 1,149 | 0.6% |
| Collingsworth | 3K | R+77.5 | 135 | 1,066 | 1,201 | 0.6% |
| Sherman | 2K | R+88.1 | 48 | 817 | 873 | 0.4% |
| Oldham | 2K | R+84.3 | 74 | 895 | 974 | 0.5% |
| Cimarron | 2K | R+84.9 | 66 | 860 | 935 | 0.5% |
| Armstrong | 2K | R+85.8 | 77 | 1,029 | 1,109 | 0.6% |
| Cottle | 1K | R+72.5 | 89 | 565 | 657 | 0.3% |
| Briscoe | 1K | R+79.7 | 72 | 666 | 745 | 0.4% |
| Roberts | 832 | R+92.1 | 20 | 547 | 572 | 0.3% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 60.3% margin
- College attainment is 23% — 10pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Amarillo | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 38.3% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 5.0% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.1% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -48.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.8% | 64.6% | — | — | |
| 13.3% | 21.0% | — | — | |
| 5.3% | 8.4% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 4.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 2.4% | — | — |
| 0.6% | 0.9% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 36.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Amarillo media market? 543,790 residents across 34 counties.
Demographics
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Amarillo
How competitive is Amarillo?
Do voters in Amarillo split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+60.3 | R+56.7 | 3.7pp |